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Pollsters - 1 Joe Biden - 1 Biden - 1
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The Times - 1 American Association for Public - 1 Research - 1

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☆ Polls Were Great in 2022. Can They Repeat Their Success in 2024?
  + stars: | 2023-07-12 | by ( Andrew Fischer | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +2 min
The 2020 election presented another distinct challenge — it took place amid the pandemic. An assessment by The Times found that weighting its 2020 polls using recalled 2016 vote would have made them even more biased toward Mr. Biden. And a report from the American Association for Public Opinion Research examining how 2020 polls could have been improved found that polls that weighted on recalled vote were no better than those that didn’t. Similarly, in 2022, weighting by recalled vote would have made Times/Siena polls less accurate. When weighted using recalled vote to 2020 election results, average error would have increased by a percentage point, and overall the polls would have been slightly biased toward Republicans.
Persons: Pollsters, Joe Biden, Biden Organizations: The Times, American Association for Public, Research Locations: Siena
☆ Voters in battleground states prefer Republican House candidates over Democrats by 6%, survey says
  + stars: | 2022-10-21 | by ( Marc Trussler | Stephanie Perry | Josh Clinton | ) www.nbcnews.com   time to read: +3 min
Nationally, 51% said they would vote for the Democratic candidate if the election for House were being held today and 49% said they would vote for the Republican candidate. A deeper analysis of state-level results reveal concerns for Democrats in several critical states where the party is trying to gain or hold Senate seats. For voters who identify as Democrat or Republican, their ballots break down as expected — 97% of Democrats say they’ll vote for the Democratic candidate and 97% of Republicans say they’ll vote for the Republican. There are differences across party lines, and critically, priorities of independent voters are closer to those of Republicans than Democrats. Analyses of subgroups of states were weighted according to population targets in those states.
☆ Vast majority of Republicans support abortion exceptions for rape, incest and mother's health
  + stars: | 2022-10-17 | by ( Stephanie Perry | Marc Trussler | Josh Clinton | ) www.nbcnews.com   time to read: +4 min
A month before the midterm elections, most Americans say abortion is important to their vote. Ninety percent of Americans who identify as Democrats or leaning Democrat, 78 % of independents and 74 % of Republican and Republican-leaning Americans say abortion matters at the voting booth. Nine in 10 Americans think a pregnant woman should be able to legally have an abortion if her health is seriously endangered by the pregnancy. Aggregating the states where abortion is legal, 88 % of Americans think abortion should be legal in the case of rape or incest. Two-thirds of Americans also said they think abortion regulations should be determined by public referendum rather than by elected officials or judges.
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