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We asked seven pro investors to identify the best trades of their careers and explain how the lessons from those decisions still apply today. The CBOE Volatility Index, also known as the VIX, shot above 40, essentially meaning traders were betting that the stock market would be exceptionally rocky over the following month. Jeff Muhlenkamp, lead portfolio manager at Muhlenkamp & CompanyJeff Muhlenkamp Muhlenkamp & CompanyJeff Muhlenkamp's namesake Muhlenkamp Fund (MUHLX) has been in the top 3% of its category in the past half-decade, thanks to trades like one he pulled off on Chinese internet firm Baidu (BIDU). "I pretty much expected, 'OK, if I get a double out of this in five years, I'll be happy' — that's pretty decent money," Muhlenkamp said. He noted that industrials within the Russell Mid Cap value index have returned 116% over the previous five years.
Persons: , That's, Michael Burry, Warren Buffett, Berkshire, Rob Arnott, Tim Boyle, Arnott, I'd, Bob Elliott, Bob Elliott's, Elliott, Jeff Muhlenkamp, Jeff Muhlenkamp Muhlenkamp, Jeff Muhlenkamp's, Muhlenkamp, you've, Sona Menon, Cambridge Associates Sona Menon, Bryant VanCronkhite, Allspring Bryant VanCronkhite Allspring Bryant VanCronkhite, VanCronkhite, Russell, industrials, James Davolos, Davolos, George Patton, Harley Bassman, Harley Bassman's, Bassman, Merrill Lynch, I'm Organizations: Service, American Express, Business, Research, Bloomberg, Getty, Bridgewater Associates, Treasury, Securities, Muhlenkamp, Baidu, Google, North, Cambridge Associates, Allspring, Horizon Kinetics, Opportunities Fund, Credit Suisse Locations: industrials, West Africa, New York City, Guinea
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailConsumer discretionary spend is starting to fade, says Allspring's Bryant VanCronkhiteBryant VanCronkhite, portfolio manager at Allspring Global Investments,, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss his expectations for tomorrow's CPI report and the state of the consumer.
Persons: Allspring's Bryant VanCronkhite Bryant Organizations: Allspring Global Investments, CPI
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDon't get too excited about a long term rally in the China equity market: Portfolio managerDerrick Irwin of Allspring Global Investments explains why he is "not adding" into the rally in the Chinese equity markets.
Persons: Derrick Irwin Organizations: Allspring, Investments Locations: China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere's a chance that the Fed won't cut rates at all this year, says Komal Sri-KumarKomal Sri-Kumar, Sri-Kumar Global Strategies president, and Margaret Patel, senior portfolio manager for multi-asset solutions at Allspring Global Investments, join 'The Exchange' to discuss if there's a chance we see zero rate cuts this year, their take on their latest inflation report, and more.
Persons: Komal, Kumar Komal, Kumar, Margaret Patel, there's Organizations: Kumar Global, Allspring Global Investments
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInvestors need to respect the reality of a possible recession, says Allspring's Bryant VanCronkhiteBryant VanCronkhite, Allspring Global Investments portfolio manager, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss the Fed minutes and what it means for the market.
Persons: Allspring's Bryant VanCronkhite Bryant Organizations: Allspring Global
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLiquidity is one of the most important drivers for Japan stocks, says Eddie ChengEddie Cheng, Head of International Portfolio Management at Allspring Global Investments, discusses Japan's equity markets and monetary policy.
Persons: Eddie Cheng Eddie Cheng Organizations: International, Management, Allspring Global Investments Locations: Japan
If you're looking at this year's economic outlook to inform your investing decisions, you may want to rethink that strategy. Investors like Bryant VanCronkhite, a senior portfolio manager at Allspring , agree that the environment is ripe for active management. The days of overpriced equities that benefited from low interest rates will soon hit a brick wall. One option is to take a cue from Wall Street's top analysts — and TipRanks, a financial data firm, has analyzed reams of data to compile useful lists. Below is a set of seven mid-cap stocks that analysts have given "strong buy" ratings with high upside.
Persons: It's, Long, Goldman Sachs, Jean Boivin, Bryant, Organizations: Business, Bank of, BlackRock Investment Institute, Allspring, NYSE, Nasdaq
Wealthy people are moving to states including Florida, Texas, North Carolina, and Tennessee. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Florida, Texas, and North Carolina are popular destinations for more than just the wealthy. The reshuffling of wealth is making historically cheaper states more expensiveIn Miami, in particular, this reshuffling of wealth has ushered in an era of unaffordability. "Miami and most of Southeast Florida have rebranded into more luxury markets," housing expert Jonathan Miller told BI in September.
Persons: They've, , SmartAsset, Ken Griffin, Jeff Bezos, Alexander Tamargo, Indxx, AllianceBernstein, Charlotte, Goldman Sachs, Griffin, plunked, Jeffrey Greenberg, Jared Kushner, Ivanka Trump, Carl Icahn, Elon Musk, he's, Jonathan Miller, Bezos, Kushner, Trump, Dina Goldentayer, Dina Goldentayer Dina Goldentayer, Zillow Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Austin, Citadel, Amazon, Allspring Global Investments, Oracle, Tesla, Dallas ., Company, Universal, Getty, Miami Locations: Florida , Texas, North Carolina, Tennessee, Miami, Florida, New York, California, Florida , Tennessee, New Jersey , Massachusetts, Dallas, Nashville, Charlotte, New York City, Texas, Miami Beach, Chicago, San Francisco, Austin, Coconut Grove, Southeast Florida
Expect to work a little harder for those fixed income returns in the new year. As a result, it may be time to start unwinding those big cash positions and adopt a longer-term mentality for fixed income investments. A runup in bond yields is accompanied by a decline in prices, and the two move inversely to one another. The sector "remains well positioned to maintain its high credit quality, driven by solid state credit quality and strong state financial support, despite soft enrollment trends," analyst Kathleen McNamara wrote last week. Consider dollar cost averaging into those longer-dated positions, incrementally building up exposure to intermediate duration bonds.
Persons: Jerome Powell, it's, Kathy Jones, Shannon Saccocia, Jones, Nicholos Venditti, Kathleen McNamara, Schwab's Jones, Barry McAlinden, Michael Bloom Organizations: Schwab Center, Financial Research, Bond, SEC, Muni Bond ETF, Allspring Global Investments, UBS
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStaples and health care look increasingly attractive: Allspring's Bryant VanCronkhiteBryant VanCronkhite, senior portfolio manager at Allspring Global Investments, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss the state of markets and the likelihood of a Christmas rally.
Persons: Allspring's Bryant VanCronkhite Bryant VanCronkhite Organizations: Staples, Allspring Global Investments
The blue-chip FTSE 100 (.FTSE) index dipped 0.1%, while the pan-European STOXX 600 (.STOXX) rose 0.5%. The life insurance sector (.FTNMX303010) fell 0.4%, with Prudential (PRU.L) slipping 0.7% after Deutsche Bank reduced its price target on the stock. Banks (.FTNMX301010) slipped 1.7% following a 2.3% fall in HSBC (HSBA.L), which was the biggest weight on the FTSE 100. Among individual stocks Halfords Group (HFD.L) plunged 21.1% after the bicycles-to-car parts retailer narrowed its annual profit forecast range. Reporting by Shashwat Chauhan in Bengaluru; Editing by Dhanya Ann Thoppil and Eileen SorengOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Toby Melville, Andrew Bailey, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey, Eddie Cheng, Banks, Shashwat Chauhan, Dhanya Ann Thoppil, Eileen Soreng Organizations: London Stock Exchange Group, REUTERS, Aviva, Bank of England, Prudential, Deutsche Bank, U.S . Federal Reserve, Allspring Global Investments, HSBC, Halfords, Thomson Locations: City, London, Britain, Europe, United States, Bengaluru
Last month, bond yields made a comeback and the 10-year Treasury note hit roughly 5%, the highest since 2007. On the other end, bond risk comes from the borrower's ability to pay back their obligation. For investors who want higher income, Bory recommends considering a mutual fund or a commingled fund that provides that diversification. Popular examples of corporate bond funds include the MainStay MacKay High Yield Corporate Bond Fund (MHCAX), Goldman Sachs High Yield Fund (GSHIX), and High Yield Spectrum Fund (PHSIX). Below is a list of Morningstar analysts' favorite high-yield bond funds that have the highest "Gold Medalist" rating.
Persons: George Bory, Bory, MacKay, Goldman Sachs, Allspring, It's, Acct, Rowe Price Organizations: Business, Allspring, Investments, Fed, AAA, BBB, Bond Fund, Fund, Morningstar, PIA Locations: Allspring, US
Bank stocks are at an all-time low compared with the S&P 500 based on relative prices, according to data from BofA Global Research. One key factor for bank stocks is whether the Federal Reserve is close to wrapping up a monetary tightening cycle that has brought the highest U.S. interest rates in decades. Yet signs the Fed may keep rates around current levels through most of next year have weighed on bank stocks. This month, analysts at BofA Global Research said investors should “selectively” add exposure to bank stocks in anticipation of an interest rate peak. Overall, about 61% of all outstanding mortgages have an interest rate below 4%, according to the Apollo Group, leaving consumers little incentive to refinance or move.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, , Quincy Krosby, Bill Gross, Neville Javeri, Goldman Sachs, Jeff Muhlenkamp, David Randall, Bansari Mayur, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Silicon Valley Bank, Bank, BofA Global Research, LPL, Federal Reserve, Fund, Allspring Global Investments, Fifth Third Bancorp, Investors, Apollo Group, financials, Fed, Muhlenkamp & Company, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Silicon
Plenty of bond investors have been burned calling a bottom in a selloff that has taken Treasuries to the cusp of an unprecedented third straight year of losses. One potential near-term pitfall is Friday’s U.S. payrolls data, which could revive expectations of Fed hawkishness if they come in stronger than expected. The rise in Treasury yields has reached far beyond the bond market. The S&P 500 is down nearly 8% from its July high, as rising bond yields offer investment competition to equities while threatening to raise the cost of capital for companies. “The market is running with the idea that the Fed is done hiking, which they may or may not be,” he said.
Persons: Jerome Powell nodded, Bonds, , Jack McIntyre, , ” McIntyre, Stanley Druckenmiller, Duquesne, Bond, Josh Emanuel, Powell, We've, Greg Wilensky, Janus Henderson, ” Wilensky, Noah Wise, Davide Barbuscia, David Randall, Ira Iosebashvili Organizations: Treasury, Federal, Fed, U.S . Treasury, Brandywine, Janus, Janus Henderson Investors, Allspring Global Investments, Thomson Locations: U.S, Wilshire
Surging bond yields and mixed earnings reports have weighed on the so-called Magnificent Seven stocks, which are collectively down an average of about 15% from their 52-week highs, though they all still sit on hefty gains for the year. The stocks now trade at an average forward price-to-earnings ratio of about 30 times compared with 45 times in mid-June. I actually think the Magnificent Seven will hold up better,” said King Lip, chief strategist at Baker Avenue Wealth Management. Because the Magnificent Seven have a combined weighting of 28% in the S&P 500, their performance holds a large sway over the broader index. Lip said his firm owns shares of all seven companies and has recently added to its holdings in some of them.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Meta, , Lip, Jay Hatfield, Kim Forrest, ” Forrest, Apple’s, Hatfield, Thomas Ognar, Ognar, ” Ognar, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: NVIDIA Corp, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Apple, Microsoft, Wealth Management, Tech, BofA Global Research, Vanda Research, Federal, Treasury, U.S, Google, Facebook, Bokeh Capital Partners, Nvidia, Allspring, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S
For every two U.S. consumer staples stocks that hedge funds have shorted, they have bought one, Goldman Sachs said. U.S. companies ranging from supermarkets to beer have been under pressure on concerns about the impact of weight-loss drugs like Ozempic, Wegovy and Mounjaro. Shares in the U.S. consumer staples sector (.SPLRCS) are down roughly 8% this year, which some investors see as an overreaction to the new weight-loss drugs. "Consumer staples has been ignored and beaten up," said Bryant VanCronkhite, equities senior portfolio manager at Allspring Global Investments LLC. PORTFOLIO ROTATIONEuropean hedge funds have bought defensive stocks in October, while selling cyclicals, according to Goldman Sachs.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Bryant, Carolina Mandl, Sharon Singleton, Leslie Adler Organizations: Allspring Global Investments, Thomson Locations: Europe, U.S, Israel, United States, Norway, Denmark, Germany, defensives, New York
LONDON (Reuters) - The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield briefly reached 5% for the first time since 2007, marking a fresh milestone in a relentless push higher for government borrowing costs. FILE PHOTO: Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 28, 2023. REUTERS/Brendan McDermidFurther signs of resilience in the U.S. economy help explain the latest sell off in Treasuries, as traders have unwound bets the U.S. Federal Reserve would soon start to lower interest rates. He highlighted what everyone has seen with the strong economic growth data and the retail sales figure that came out. Just like how the market forced the Fed to stop quantitative tightening in 2019, it might be forcing the Fed to rethink QT today.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jerome Powell, MICHAEL SCHULMAN, EL, , NOAH, ” BRIAN JACOBSEN, MENOMONEE, QUINCY KROSBY, Powell Organizations: Treasury, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, U.S . Federal, Fed, NORTH Locations: New York City, U.S, Treasuries, EL SEGUNDO, CALIFORNIA, CHARLOTTE, NC, WISCONSIN, NORTH CAROLINA, Ukraine, Russia
The surprisingly strong economy has led investors to worry that the Fed will keep rates higher for longer, which, in turn, drove US Treasury yields higher. As stocks have declined and bond yields have soared, bond prices have tanked, causing pain for investors who bet that the Fed would curtail its rate-hiking campaign earlier this year. Treasury yields rose to their highest level in over a decade earlier this week, before edging lower on a cooldown in employment data on Wednesday. Bond prices cratered in 2022 after the Fed began drastically raising near-zero rates to tame runaway inflation. US Treasury bond prices jumped earlier this year after the collapse of several regional lenders led traders to bet that the Fed would soon ease its aggressive pace of interest rate hikes.
Persons: , Noah Wise, Matt Miskin, FactSet, Miskin, Wise, doesn’t, you’re, ” Wise, Sam Bankman, Nathan Rehn, Allison Morrow, , ” Rehn, Read, Samantha Murphy Kelly Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, CNN, Treasury, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Allspring Global Investments, John Hancock Investment Management, Fed, US Treasury, Google Locations: Manhattan, Bahamas, New York City
Matt Orton, chief market strategist at Raymond James Investment Management, was the latest to urge investors to "strategically add" to small-cap stocks right now. Tom Ognar, senior portfolio manager at Allspring Global Investments, said small- and mid-cap stocks look the "most incrementally interesting" among growth stocks. "We're very attuned to the valuation discounts currently being afforded to small- and mid-cap stocks after protracted periods of underperformance relative to large-cap stocks," he said. It screened for the best small-cap stocks to play an economic recovery. RBC Capital Markets also released, in a September note, an updated list of what it called "high conviction" U.S. small-cap growth recommendations.
Persons: Matt Orton, Russell, CNBC's, Orton, Tom Ognar, Ognar, CNBC'S, Valvoline, it's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Raymond James Investment Management, Allspring Global Investments, . Bank of America, Microsystems, Technologies, RBC Capital Markets, Automotive, RBC, Clearwater Analytics, Clearwater, Xenon Pharmaceuticals
Many view healthcare as a defensive sector because it has constant demand and is somewhat insulated from the economy. In the latest week, investors pulled a net $1.4 billion from the sector, the biggest weekly outflow since May 2022. Overall, the healthcare sector - which ranges from health insurers like UnitedHealth to pharmaceutical companies like Pfizer to small biotechs - has received the third largest inflows of any sector year to date, BofA's data showed. This would weaken the case for loading up on healthcare stocks. Overall, healthcare sector earnings are expected to lag this year as COVID-related revenues decline 13% versus a 1.8% rise for the overall S&P 500.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Bob Kalman, Emily Roland, Dan Lyons, Janus Henderson, you've, Lyons, Kalman, Joe Biden's, Margie Patel, Patel, David Randall, Ira Iosebashvili, Megan Davies, David Gregorio, Richard Chang Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Atlanta Federal, BofA Global Research, Pfizer, Miramar Capital, Healthcare, John Hancock Investment Management, Janus Henderson Investors, U.S, Bristol Myers Squibb, Allspring Global Investments, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStock market doesn't think economy is nearing recession, says Allspring's Margaret PatelMargaret Patel, senior portfolio manager for multi-asset solutions at Allspring Global Investments, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss parts of the economy benefiting from higher savings rates, competition in the U.S. industrial sector leading to increased capital expenditures, and value in tools and diagnostics from the healthcare space.
Persons: Allspring's Margaret Patel Margaret Patel Organizations: Email, Allspring Global Investments Locations: U.S
In contrast, nearly $1 billion went into emerging market ex-China mutual funds, according to Refinitiv data that Reuters cited. Here are some alternatives to China and the stocks to invest in, according to the pros. Japan Japan stocks have been an investor favorite this year, seeing the highest inflows in 20 years, according to Eastspring Investments. Demand for Japan funds has surged among European investors, according to data from research firm Cerulli. The bank screened for Japan stocks with the following attributes: resilient earnings, price-to-book (P/B) ratio below 1.5, and potential P/B upside relative to return on equity.
Persons: Morningstar, , , Derrick Irwin, there's, Oliver Lee, BofA, Joanne Peng, Allspring's Irwin, Irwin, Fomento, He's, Morgan Stanley, Will, ” Irwin, Cerulli’s Peng Organizations: Morningstar, CNBC Pro, Reuters, Allspring Global Investments, CNBC, , Eastspring Investments, Ivailo, Mitsui & Co, Honda Motor, Nomura, Kansai Electric Power, Mitsubishi Motors, Panasonic, Mexicano, HDFC Bank, HDFC Locations: European, China, India, Beijing, Japan Japan, Japan, Europe, Vietnam, Asia, Indonesia, Malaysia, Southeast Asia, Mexico, America, Will China
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina is facing a 'crisis of confidence' from investors and the public: Allspring Global InvestmentsDerrick Irwin of Allspring Global Investments explains how investors should approach the Chinese market.
Persons: Derrick Irwin Organizations: China, Allspring, Investments
Investors are also closely watching the path of Treasury yields, which rattled equity markets in recent days by rising to fresh year highs. The S&P 500 fell 2.27% this week, its biggest weekly decline since March 10. Janasiewicz of Natixis said a stronger-than-expected consumer price reading next week could spark a decline of up to 5% in the S&P 500. A stronger-than-expected inflation number next week could also boost Treasury yields further. Rising yields on Treasuries, viewed as among the world's safest investments because they are backed by the U.S. government, can dull the allure of stocks.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jack Janasiewicz, Natixis, Aaron Chan, Refinitiv, Tim Murray, Rowe Price, Brent, Ann Miletti, Fitch, Keith Lerner, Lerner, Carolina Mandl, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio Our Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Natixis Investment, Amazon.com, Cruise, Treasury, U.S ., Advisory, Wall Street, Amazon, Google, Apple, BofA Global Research, JPMorgan, Carolina, Thomson Locations: Wall St, New York, U.S, Stocks, Refinitiv
A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 26, 2023. Nvidia (NVDA.O) shares have surged almost 205% year to date, while Meta Platforms (META.O) has surged about 160% as investors anticipate the potential AI may unlock. That spending has led investors to search for stocks that will reap the benefits of the boost in spending in construction and engineering. "You have to look harder at these companies about what their end market really is, even though they're in a sector." Reporting by Chuck Mikolajczak; additional reporting by Lance Tupper, Editing by Louise HeavensOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Kim Forrest, Morgan Stanley, hasn’t, Bryant VanCronkhite, VanCronkhite, Owens Corning, Forrest, Chuck Mikolajczak, Lance Tupper, Louise Heavens Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Nvidia, Meta, Bokeh Capital Partners, Infrastructure Investment, Jobs, Allspring Global Investments, Reuters, Vulcan, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Pittsburgh, Menomonee Falls , Wisconsin
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