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Favorable valuations Small-cap stocks are one area Dietze is watching closely, given that they are trading at a "discount." Interest in small-cap stocks picked up in July and while the outlook has been mixed, he likes that "valuations are favorable" right now. Emerging markets Another popular segment Dietze is focusing on is emerging markets, thanks to the potential from their rapidly growing population numbers. Countries classified as emerging markets include China, India, South Korea, Taiwan and Brazil. Year-to-date, the MSCI Emerging Markets Index is up 0.56%.
Persons: Dow Jones, David Dietze, CNBC's, Dietze's, Russell, Jerome, Dietze, Hershey, , Jesse Pound Organizations: U.S, U.S . Federal, mull, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, CNBC, Myers Squibb, BHP Group Locations: U.S ., U.S, China, India, South Korea, Taiwan, Brazil, Bristol
It could be time to rethink popular portfolio strategies for a lower interest rate environment. The Federal Reserve's half-percent rate cut on Wednesday marked the first time in more than four years it moved to lower the benchmark interest rate. According to VanEck CEO Jan van Eck, investors should start thinking about how the changing macro environment will affect their investments in the year ahead. "We're going to be in an easing cycle, so small-cap companies are going to be benefited by lower interest rates," the firm's chief ETF strategist said. With rates finally beginning to fall, van Eck points to the federal deficit as the next potential challenge for markets.
Persons: Jan van Eck, CNBC's, Russell, Jon Maier, it's, Crane, Maier, van Eck Organizations: Federal, Morgan, Investors
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang presents the Nvidia Blackwell platform at an event ahead of the COMPUTEX Forum, in Taipei, Taiwan, on June 2, 2024. Led by a 7.4% gain in shares of Tesla and a 4% jump in Nvidia , the Nasdaq rose 2.5% on Thursday, its fourth-sharpest rally of 2024. Nvidia, whose processors are powering the generative AI boom and services like OpenAI's ChatGPT, gained 4% on Thursday to $117.87. Su said AI is going to make its way into "all aspects of our lives," including education and drug development. Among the other top tech companies, Apple and Meta also closed with big gains, each rising almost 4%.
Persons: Jensen Huang, Nvidia Blackwell, it's, they're, Lisa Su, Jim Cramer, Su, Tesla Organizations: Nvidia, COMPUTEX, Investors, Federal Reserve, Tesla, Nasdaq, Federal, Market, Microsoft, Oracle, Devices, Broadcom, AMD, Apple, Meta Locations: Taipei, Taiwan
This trade was the biggest post-Fed winner
  + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
It looks like small caps were the winning trade following the Federal Reserve's supersized rate cut on Wednesday . With that, the fund has climbed 3.1% this week and 10.2% in the third quarter alone, double the return of the S & P 500 in each period. Large-cap stocks easily outperformed small caps in five of eight instances when the Fed was lowering rates, small caps outperformed twice and in one case, 1995, there was virtually no difference. Regime Indicator to 'Downturn' all support our preference for large vs small [stocks]," the analysts wrote. In Thursday's session, the S & P jumped 1.7% to a fresh all-time high, topping the 5,700 mark for the first time.
Persons: Russell, Clinton Organizations: Fed, Strategas Securities, Federal, Bank of America, U.S
Amazon abandoned its $1.7 billion purchase of iRobot in January after the FTC and European regulators raised concerns. Since peaking at $1.5 trillion in 2021, tech transaction volume has plummeted, dropping to $544 billion last year, according to Dealogic. Before the company announced its $27 billion purchase of data analytics software company Splunk last September, he said he viewed the risk as absolutely worth taking. Alphabet's last big deal was its $5.4 billion purchase of cybersecurity company Mandiant in 2022. Microsoft closed its massive $75 billion purchase of Activision in October, but it took 20 months and a protracted fight with U.S. and European regulators.
Persons: Lina Khan, Jonathan Kanter, Khan, Joe Biden, Drew Angerer, Biden, Permira, Thoma, Sen, JD Vance, Donald Trump's, Barry Diller, Reid Hoffman, Kamala Harris, Andrew Luh, Gunderson Dettmer, Figma, Dana Rao, Rao, We've, they've, Juniper, Salesforce, Antonio Neri, Pau Barrena, Neri, Sergio Letelier, hasn't, Letelier, Marc Benioff, It's Benioff's, Slack, Benioff, Derek Idemoto, who's, Idemoto, that's, Splunk, HPE's Letelier, it's, Harris, Trump Organizations: U.S . Federal Trade Commission, Justice, Brookings Institution, U.S, Senate, Getty, Google, Amazon, Microsoft, Federal Trade Commission, iRobot, FTC, BlackRock, Thoma Bravo, KKR, Republican, CNBC, Democratic, Trump, Big Tech, Justice Department, DOJ, Apple, Meta, Adobe, European Commission, UK Competition, Markets Authority, Justice Department's Antitrust, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Mobile World Congress, MWC, AFP, Juniper, Markets, DOJ's Antitrust, European Union, EU, Software, Cisco, Activision, Foreign Investment, Regulators, Bloomberg, Tech Locations: Washington, Europe, Barcelona, Pau, Salesforce, United States
Then on July 11, things really got started as June CPI came in below expectations and the outlook for the first Fed rate cut became significantly more likely. Let's drill down into the sectors that makeup the Russell 2000 to see who's leading and lagging since that July 5th turning point. Let's find out who is actually profitable and could maintain the rally after the initial shine of a fresh rate cut wears off. Where to look in small caps A big component of the Russell 2000 based on market capitalization representation is health care at 18.7%. Should the Fed strike a dovish tone after the first rate cut I will be shopping for quality names.
Persons: Russell, Piper Sandler, Hamilton Lane, Jefferies, JEF, Todd Gordon, Gordon, ARES Organizations: Nasdaq, Inside Edge, CNBC PRO, Ares Management, Fed, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: financials
Japan's low interest rates made its currency a cheap option to borrow and fund other trades in the US and worldwide. So there's $6 trillion sitting in money market funds that is being held hostage to politics, he added. Advertisement"We've had these episodes of market volatility in the past, and the only path was in and out of equities," Quinlan said. Remember, as interest rates come down, you lock in two-, five-, or 10-year yields. Those money market funds are going to come down as the interest rates come down."
Persons: , Joe Quinlan, Quinlan, it's, There's, You've, capex, Donald Trump, We've, Russell, We're Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Dow, Merrill, Bank of America Private Bank, Business, Reserve, Big Tech, Labor Locations: China, Israel, Iran
Read previewAfter over two years of underperformance, it seems like small-cap stocks are finally poised to take off. Because there is such a wide variety of small-cap companies, Tuorto believes investors have to do some digging to identify the best opportunities. Some of the best opportunities are way, way down in cap. Healthy small-cap companies have a clear path to profitability and reinvest cash back into their business to drive growth, he said. Tuorto's top small-cap picksBelow are Tuorto's top six picks for high-quality small-cap companies with strong fundamentals and market caps under $10 billion.
Persons: , Russell, Greg Tuorto, Tuorto, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Business, Big Tech, Nvidia, Core Equity ETF
A sharp sell-off in 2024's winning tech giants has left investors wondering whether it's safe to scoop up the pummeled shares. At one point during Monday's rout, the "Magnificent Seven" stocks combined had lost nearly $1 trillion in value , later recovering some of the losses. To be sure, some investors on Wall Street are pumping the brakes after Monday's sell-off, cautioning others to hold off on buying the dip just yet. Many investors viewed the sell-off as a necessary pullback in what's been a seemingly endless uptrend in the market. Like many investors, he also views Monday's pullback as a small blip in the AI trade's record run.
Persons: That's, Jamie Meyers, Management's Paul Meeks, CNBC's, Tengler's Meyers, Kayne Anderson, Julie Biel, Adam Sarhan, Jay Woods Organizations: Federal Reserve, Investments, Wall, Broadcom, Microsoft, Tesla, CNBC, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Freedom Capital Locations: U.S
As U.S. markets opened for trading on Monday, tech's mega-cap companies lost about $1 trillion in market cap, deepening a downturn that sent the Nasdaq into correction territory last week. Nvidia shed more than $300 billion in market cap at the opening bell, though it quickly recovered about half of its loss. The company surpassed $3 trillion in market cap and briefly passed Microsoft and Apple to become the world's most valuable company. Its market cap now sits below $2.5 trillion. A widely-read Goldman Sachs note from June warned that the biggest-spending companies had little to show for their AI expenditures.
Persons: Bitcoin, It's, Mark Zuckerberg, Sundar Pichai, Goldman Sachs Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Nikkei, Google, Elliott Management Locations: U.S, Meta, cryptocurrency
ETFs hold a collection of securities , like stocks or bonds, and so offer more diversification than a single asset. CNBC Pro asked Dennison for his top ETF picks that someone looking to invest $50,000 can buy and hold long-term. Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF Dennison says he's "very happy" with the Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF (AVDV-US). DFA Dimensional U.S. Small Cap Value ETF Another small-cap-focused ETF on Dennison's radar is the Dimensional US Small Cap Value ETF (DFSV-US), which owns companies that are "in corners of the market that are harder to reach." The Dimensional US Small Cap Value ETF is currently around 6% higher over the year to date.
Persons: Tariq Dennison, Dennison, he's, Spencer, Weizhen Tan, Ganesh Rao Organizations: Fidelity, GFM Asset Management, CNBC Pro, Value, U.S, Abercrombie, Fitch, Cadence Bank, Commercial Metals, JPM Global Equity, Global Equity, Arista Networks, Walmart, Deutsche Telekom, ASM International, Novo Nordisk, Vanguard Locations: U.S, Swiss, Dennison
Anything above 4% indicates the market is overbought, anything below a minus 5% means the market is oversold.) I am just prematurely predicting other investors fleeing the stock because they think Warren knows more than them. Many investors thought that Amazon was the best set up of the Mag Seven going into earnings. We are right smack in a most perilous moment because the Fed doesn't want to move too fast but the stock market does and the Fed does not care about that. I don't think a presidential election is all that conducive to the market.
Persons: Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Apple, Warren, That's, Buffett, Tim Cook, Cook, Carl Icahn, I'd, Donald Trump, don't, Jerome Powell, Meta, It's, Pat Gelsinger, Andy Grove, Gelsinger, Craig Barrett, that's, Pat, Let's, Mark Zuckerberg, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow, of America, Apple, Microsoft, Bank of America, Amazon Web Services, Investors, Comcast, Walgreens, CVS, Federal, whimpers, Amazon, Nvidia, Meta, Intel, Lenovo, Dell, HP, CNBC, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Traders, New York Stock Exchange Locations: Friday's, China, , Wells, U.S, humorless, Taiwan, Brookfield, Arizona, NBCUniversal
Amazon and Apple both reported earnings on Thursday, with Amazon missing on revenue and issuing a disappointing forecast and Apple showing top-line growth of just 5%. The one mega-cap tech company that's yet to release results is Nvidia, which has been the biggest winner in the AI boom. The stock is down 17% over the Nasdaq's three-week slump, though it's still up more than 110% for the year. Intel reported a big earnings miss and announced a mass restructuring that includes eliminating 15% of its staff. CEO Pat Gelsinger told CNBC on Friday that it's the "most substantial restructuring of Intel since the memory microprocessor transition four decades ago."
Persons: Stephanie Keith, Josh Koren, Koren, CNBC's, Brian Olsavsky, Meta, Mark Zuckerberg, Zuckerberg, it's, Pat Gelsinger, INTC, Bernstein Organizations: Nasdaq, Bloomberg, Getty, Labor Department, Musketeer Capital Partners, Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, Mizuho, Meta, Wall, Nvidia, Intel, CNBC, KeyBanc, Markets Locations: New York, freefall, U.S
Technical signals suggest downside is limitedThere isn't much evidence that poor-performing areas of the market, like small-cap stocks, have peaked, Newton said. Meanwhile, Treasury yields have fallen in recent months as traders anticipate Fed rate cuts, which is typically bullish for stocks, he added. Advertisement"Thus, looking to buy dips makes sense technically," he said, adding that small-cap stocks looked "certainly appealing" after their recent slide. Fed rate cuts will mark a turning point in the marketThat's because rate cuts are expected to ease borrowing costs across several sectors. Small-cap stocks are flashing bullish signalsThe Russell 2000 hit a 30-month high in July, something that's only happened nine times over the past 45 years.
Persons: Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Lee, , Tom Lee, who's, Mark Newton, Newton, I'm, Russell, That's Organizations: Tech, Service, Fed, Wall Street Locations: Wall
A pedestrian looks at an electronic stock board outside a securities firm in Tokyo, Japan, on Tuesday, Dec. 25, 2018. Japan's stock markets have hit a six-month low, declining for two straight days, after the Bank of Japan raised benchmark interest rates to their highest level since 2008. Speaking to CNBC's "Squawk Box Asia," Bruce Kirk, chief Japan equity strategist at Goldman Sachs said that the Japanese market rally had reached a "transitional phase." Yes, there's a fundamental shift taking place in the market, but it's not unusual," Kirk said. "I think people are now looking for areas that are more domestic demand focused, and that's really putting the interest back on Japan's small [and] mid-caps."
Persons: Bruce Kirk, Goldman Sachs, Kirk Organizations: Bank of Japan, Nikkei, CNBC Locations: Tokyo, Japan
While we are getting a tech rally Wednesday thanks to Advanced Micro Devices (up 7%), this is the month when rotation became more than a one day event. Since small-cap companies often have more debt and higher borrowing costs, the expectation of lower rates is certainly a factor. I noted weeks ago that more fundamentally inclined investors were worried about the slower rate of earnings growth for big cap technology stocks . The Russell 2000 would also benefit any time a rotation out of tech occurs because the weightings are different. While the two sectors that comprise technology in the S & P 500 (Technology and Communication Services) are about 40% of the S & P 500, the Russell 2000 is much more diverse.
Persons: Consumer Staples, Russell Organizations: Micro Devices, Energy, Health Care, Consumer, Communication Services, Care Locations: Banks
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJapan's small-cap companies look attractive over the next 3 to 5 years: Asymmetric AdvisorsTimothy Morse of Asymmetric Advisors explains why investing in small-cap stocks in Japan in the mid-term makes sense even as BOJ is expected to raise interest rate.
Persons: Timothy Morse Organizations: Advisors Locations: Japan
CNBC's Jim Cramer said Monday the recent reshuffling on Wall Street is about more than a resurgence in small-cap stocks. "This market is not experiencing a smallcap rally, it's experiencing a rally in everything else but the tech titans. Cramer suggested the market isn't being led solely by a few smaller-cap companies that are performing well. Instead, he said, large institutions may be buying poor quality small stocks "as part of a larger basket" with indexes like the Russell 2000 or the S&P Small Cap 600. There are also larger companies that have seen huge gains recently as part of the market broadening, he said, such as McDonald's .
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, Russell, Wall, McDonald's Organizations: titans
Small caps should also get a boost from interest rate cuts, which typically translate to disproportionately large gains for the group. That helps confirm what investors are realizing: small caps are the place to be. When large caps sneeze, the market catches a coldThe small-cap breakout has coincided with large technology stocks breaking down. Small caps also tend to have less of an international presence than their larger peers, so they don't miss out as much when converting overseas profits to dollars. The small-cap index is closely tied to economically sensitive parts of the market, which should continue to participate in this rally.
Persons: , chartmaster, BMO Capital Markets David Keller, who's, Russell, David Keller, StockCharts.com, Keller, you've, he'd, Keller didn't Organizations: Service, Tech, Nvidia, Meta, Business, BMO Capital Markets, BMO Capital, BMO, Therapeutics, Myriad Genetics, Holdings
Instead, small caps spent the first half of this year doing what they've been doing for the last decade: falling behind. The Russell 2000 Value was up 10%, while the Russell 2000 having gained 11%. A sustainable rally Small caps have underperformed for roughly the last decade, but they've typically done better historically. Meanwhile, Teton Westwood's Galluccio thinks it can last much longer: "I think small caps stand to outperform for the next three years." "The last decade was the first time in many, many years when small caps underperformed, leading the talking heads to say that quality, quality, quality is large-cap growth.
Persons: Jerome Powell, they've, Russell, Nicholas Galluccio, It's, You've, I've, Mike Rode, Rode, Galluccio Organizations: Federal, TW Smallcap Equity, Fama, Investments, Panasonic, LSEG Locations: Fama French, De Soto , Kansas
US small caps hadn't been down that long since the painful stretch from mid-2007 to early 2011. While smaller stocks languished, large-cap companies dominated, due in part to enthusiasm about their exposure to artificial intelligence. Bank of AmericaThis valuation discrepancy is no secret, so Bank of America believes the market rally will broaden beyond the mega-cap leaders as investors shift toward smaller stocks. Earnings expectations for small caps have tumbled in the last several months, Hall said, noting that analysts are no longer pricing in positive profit growth. "Guidance has still generally been weaker than average for small caps."
Persons: , Jill Carey Hall, Russell, Hall, they'll, haven't, It's, everyone's Organizations: Service, Bank of America's, Business, Bank, America, Bank of America, Federal Reserve,
For Europe, the prime concern is tariffs," wrote Goldman analysts. "If the entire impact came in 2025 this would be enough to eliminate any growth that year (our current top-down forecast is 4%)," Goldman wrote. Within sectors, beneficiaries of rising trade risks tend to be defensive stocks such as utilities, health care as well as Europe's GRANOLAS stocks, according to the bank. But he says a "meaningful selloff" in mega tech will see other names "pushed down as collateral damage." And if the AI narrative plays out as expected, a material sell-off in Mega Tech will present a buying opportunity in those names as well," he wrote.
Persons: Biden, Donald Trump, Trump, Europe's, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Louis Navellier, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bloomberg, Taiwan, Trump, U.S, JPMorgan, China Gas, Power, Huaneng, Republicans, National Security, Hire, GSK, Roche, ASML, Nestle, Novartis, Novo Nordisk, L'Oreal, LVMH, AstraZeneca, SAP, Sanofi, Liquide, Tobacco, Dassault Systemes, Intercontinental Hotels, Nvidia, Navellier, Associates, Mega Tech Locations: China, Taiwan, U.S, Hong Kong, Europe, United States, Germany, France, Stellantis
Investors are flocking to small-cap stocks right now, driving this segment of the market to new highs this week. He also noted that the Russell 2000 is outperforming the S & P 500 by the widest margin since November 2021. But according to him, one group of small-cap stocks could do well if rates were to stay higher for longer: regional banks. However, Turnquist cautioned that small-cap growth stocks would find the outlook tougher than small-cap value stocks, as they are more sensitive to economic health. How to play small-caps Investors who have been making a play for small-caps include billionaire Stanley Druckenmiller , who revealed a big bullish position in small-cap stocks last quarter.
Persons: Russell, Adam Turnquist, Turnquist, we've, There's, Trump, Kelvin Wong, Donald Trump, Wong, Stanley Druckenmiller, FactSet, David Dietze, Dietze, Jay Hatfield, Kilroy, Jefferies, Hatfield, , Yun Li Organizations: CNBC, LPL, U.S . Federal, Federal Reserve, Citi, Wealth Management, CNBC Pro, Corp, Jefferies Locations: U.S, America
The small-cap benchmark Russell 2000 jumped 2% on Tuesday, heading for its fifth straight winning day. Small-cap companies are especially sensitive to rate policy, as their financing costs rise when interest rates are high. Falling rates could be a boon for these names, said Kostin, Goldman's chief equity strategist, on CNBC's " Squawk on the Street ." In that period, the Russell 2000 Index has added more than 11%, compared with the S & P 500 's 4% advance. In 2024, the S & P 500 has surged more than 18%, while the Russell 2000 has added 10%.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Jerome Powell, Russell Organizations: Russell, Federal
Don't expect the mammoth returns of the S&P 500 to continue this year, according to Goldman Sachs Asset Management's midyear investment outlook released last week. AdvertisementBut this doesn't mean that Goldman Sachs is expecting a severe downturn. Active management is more important now than ever, and Goldman Sachs recommends taking steps now to prepare for a lukewarm second half of 2024. To address geopolitical instability and financial shocks, Goldman Sachs recommends hedging risk through commodities. Goldman Sachs is seeing increasing opportunities in Asia.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Alexis Deladerrière, , Lindsay Rosner, Rosner, Deladerrière, it's Organizations: Service, Goldman, Business, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Fed Locations: Mexico, France, East, Ukraine, industrials, underperformance, Asia, Japan, India
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