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U.S. dollar rises on global growth worries; Aussie down
  + stars: | 2023-09-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The dollar rose to a near six-month high against a basket of currencies on Tuesday as jitters over global growth, particularly in China, caused investors to flock to the safe-haven U.S. currency. The Aussie dollar slumped after the Reserve Bank of Australia kept rates steady. "Worries are on the rise about a China and Europe-led slowdown in global growth. The euro was down 0.69% after hitting a near 3-month low against the dollar at $1.07225. A deteriorating global growth picture sent the pound to a 12-week low against the dollar after a survey showed business activity in Britain contracted last month.
Persons: Shane Oliver, Joe Manimbo, Christopher Waller, Waller, Convera's Manimbo, bitcoin Organizations: AMP, Reserve Bank of, Fed, Federal, U.S, Financial, Aussie Locations: Sydney, Australia, China, Reserve Bank of Australia, Europe, Washington, U.S, Britain
AI frenzy’s feedback loop stuffs Nvidia
  + stars: | 2023-08-24 | by ( Robert Cyran | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
NEW YORK, Aug 23 (Reuters Breakingviews) - The ducks on Wall Street are quacking for artificial intelligence, and that means Nvidia (NVDA.O) gets fed. Under co-founder Jensen Huang, Nvidia has built a business that dominates the design of specialized chips that are an essential component in training AI systems. Alphabet is already investing $7 billion a quarter, and promised last month it would ramp capital spending further as it beefs up in AI. While companies talk up the potential of AI, it hasn’t yet generated much revenue, even for prime booster Microsoft. Should Wall Street sour on AI, Nvidia’s valuation would look overstuffed.
Persons: Jensen Huang, Amy Hood, Jonathan Guilford, Sharon Lam Organizations: Reuters, Nvidia, Nasdaq, Microsoft, Google, Thomson
New Zealand's labor market remains tight, says economist
  + stars: | 2023-08-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNew Zealand's labor market remains tight, says economistDiana Mousina of AMP Capital discusses the outlook for New Zealand's interest rates and its labor market.
Persons: Diana Mousina Organizations: AMP Capital
Markets are still in the dark whether Treasurer Jim Chalmers will reappoint Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Philip Lowe or bow to public pressure for a new pair of hands at an institution that stumbled over its policy messaging during the pandemic. "Markets would be more concerned if there wasn't that list," noted Shane Oliver, chief economist at AMP Capital. They are among the front runners in part because there is much pressure for Chalmers to appoint the first female head of the RBA. One dark horse also being mentioned is Guy Debelle, a former RBA deputy governor who resigned last year to join the green energy business of mining billionaire Andrew Forrest. It is possible Chalmers could reappoint Lowe for a shorter period to see out the RBA's current tightening cycle and planned changes in its operation and structure.
Persons: missteps, Jim Chalmers, Philip Lowe, Chalmers, Lowe, Shane Oliver, Michele Bullock, Jenny Wilkinson, Guy Debelle, Andrew Forrest, reappoint Lowe, AMP's Oliver, Wayne Cole, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: SYDNEY, Reserve Bank of Australia, Chalmers, Markets, AMP, Thomson
US banks gird for dose of post-stress-test trauma
  + stars: | 2023-06-29 | by ( John Foley | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +8 min
NEW YORK, June 29 (Reuters Breakingviews) - For the biggest U.S. banks, the nerves this year come after the exam. Fed stress tests subject banks to a theoretical market shock and incorporate elements of operational risk, and then spit out a “stress capital buffer” requirement tailored to each firm. The risk for banks is that new rules get piled on top of existing regulations in a process known as gold-plating. U.S. banks are awaiting a proposal from their regulators to revamp capital rules, expected in July. Gruenberg said regulators were considering expanding the reach of a stricter set of capital rules to include banks with over $100 billion in assets.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Michael Barr, Jamie Dimon, Banks, Morgan Stanley, Jay Powell, PwC, watchdogs, Michelle Bowman, Martin Gruenberg, It’s, Gruenberg, Peter Thal Larsen, Streisand Neto Organizations: YORK, Reuters, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Banking Supervision, Basel III, America, State Street, Bank of New York Mellon, Big, Bank, U.S ., Reuters Graphics Reuters, Signature Bank, First, Fed, Federal Deposit Insurance, FDIC, Credit Suisse, Committee, , “ Basel IV, Federal, Thomson Locations: U.S, Basel, Goldman, Big U.S, Swiss, “ Basel
The Eurostoxx 50 futures was down 0.16%, German DAX futures up 0.01% and FTSE futures down 0.07%. The consumer price index is expected to show core inflation rose 0.4% on a monthly basis and 5.6% year-over-year in March, according to a Reuters poll of economists. Markets are now pricing in a 66% chance of the Fed raising interest rates by 25 basis points in May and then pausing for the subsequent meetings, according to the CME FedWatch tool. The Fed last month raised interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point, taking it to a range of 4.75% to 5.00%. With oil prices rising again and labour market cooling only gradually, risk remains tilted for core inflation to remain elevated for longer," they said.
March 13 (Reuters) - The U.S. government announced actions to shore up deposits and stem any broader financial fallout from the sudden collapse of tech startup-focused lender Silicon Valley Bank (SIVB.O) (SVB), sending U.S. stock futures higher. "The market turbulence sparked by SVB has upended rising market expectations on the Fed rate path. The fact that SVB and Signature Bank depositors will be made whole is critical in maintaining trust in the financial system and should help stem contagion fears this week. But it also means that 50 basis points (a possible Fed interest rate hike) is off the table." Given what's happened in the U.S. financial system, a 25 basis point hike is more likely than a 50 basis point hike."
March 13 (Reuters) - The U.S. government announced actions to shore up deposits and stem any broader financial fallout from the sudden collapse of tech startup-focused lender Silicon Valley Bank (SIVB.O) (SVB), sending U.S. stock futures higher. ALVIN TAN, HEAD OF ASIA FX STRATEGY, RBC CAPITAL MARKETS, SINGAPORE:"Markets remain unsettled from the SVB failure. "The market turbulence sparked by SVB has upended rising market expectations on the Fed rate path. ANTHONY SAGLIMBENE, CHIEF MARKET STRATEGIST, AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL, TROY, MICHIGAN:"It was imperative that regulators stepped in and decisively acted before markets around the world opened for the week. GREG MCBRIDE, CHIEF FINANCIAL ANALYST, BANKRATE:"While the Fed has talked about a lot in the past year, until today it has been in the context of monetary policy.
[1/3] Students walk past stalls during the orientation week at The University of Sydney, in Camperdown, Australia February 15, 2023. 'BIG RUSH'The shortage has meanwhile jumpstarted one of the few subsets of Australian residential property, the student accommodation sector, that languished during COVID. Before 2020, Chinese students accounted for about 40% of the A$40 billion ($27 billion) Australia made educating foreigners annually. But China's reopening has raised the issue about the availability of beds in a "welcome sign" for investors, said Brad Williams, managing director of AMP Capital's diversified infrastructure trust, Australia's third-largest owner of purpose-built student accommodation. Tomas Johnsson, CEO of UniLodge Australia, the country's biggest operator of purpose-built student accommodation, said some developers were even paying more to speed up construction.
Japan's Nikkei (.N225) fell 1.1% and the yen , which rose about 0.4% to 136.20 per dollar, was the biggest mover in otherwise quiet currency trade. Japan will consider revising a 2% inflation target agreed between the government and central bank next year, four sources familiar with the matter told Reuters. The yen has been the worst-performing G10 currency this year, with a 15% loss against the dollar, driven mainly by the gap between rising U.S. rates and anchored Japanese rates. U.S. rates were steady last week, despite the Fed projecting further hikes ahead, as traders fret that interest rates are already high enough to start hurting economic growth. It is down 20% for the year and has failed in several attempts at sustainably trading above its 200-day moving average.
Festivity on hold for stocks as rate hikes loom
  + stars: | 2022-12-19 | by ( Tom Westbrook | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) fell 0.1%. Japan will consider revising a 2% inflation target agreed between the government and central bank next year, four sources familiar with the matter told Reuters. The yen has been the worst-performing G10 currency this year, with a 15% loss against the dollar, driven mainly by the gap between rising U.S. rates and anchored Japanese rates. U.S. rates were steady last week, despite the Fed projecting further hikes ahead, as traders fret that interest rates are already high enough to start hurting economic growth. It is down 20% for the year and has failed in several attempts at sustainably trading above its 200-day moving average.
Festivity on hold for stocks as rate hikes beckon
  + stars: | 2022-12-19 | by ( Tom Westbrook | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
Japan's Nikkei (.N225) fell 1% in early trade and the yen , which rose about 0.5% to 136.00 per dollar, was the biggest mover in quiet currency trade. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) rose 0.4%. The yen has been the worst-performing G10 currency this year, with a 15% loss against the dollar, driven mainly by the gap between rising U.S. rates and anchored Japanese rates. U.S. rates were steady last week, despite the Fed projecting further hikes ahead, as traders fret that interest rates are already high enough to start hurting economic growth. It is down 20% for the year and has failed in several attempts at sustainably trading above its 200-day moving average.
Quay Quarter Tower has been named World Building of the Year at the World Architecture Festival. The 49-storey skyscraper was partly built around the structure of an existing office building. Quay Quarter has been dubbed the world's first "upcycled skyscraper." The prize is the latest honour for Quay Quarter Tower, which has been dubbed the world's first "upcycled skyscraper" and a more sustainable solution to high-rise construction. Adam Mork/3XNThe 676 foot, 49-storey Quay Quarter Tower was announced as the winning design in 2014.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) lost 0.2% in early trade. Nonetheless, the index is set to rise 4.2% for the week, hovering around the highest level since September. "I think the rally can probably continue but in the short-term the payrolls are the one to watch closely." The Euro hit a fresh five-month high at $1.0539 while the Japanese yen also scaled a new three-month high against the U.S. dollar. The Aussie dollar dipped slightly to $0.6796, after blowing past major resistance at 68 cents in the previous session, on Fed pivot hopes and China easing its zero-COVID policy.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNew Zealand's central bank will probably keep 'talking tough' on inflation, economist saysDiana Mousina of AMP Capital says the Reserve Bank of New Zealand has been quite dovish in terms of its growth projections.
Fed hopes buoy shares, China COVID easing boosts oil
  + stars: | 2022-11-11 | by ( Huw Jones | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
Oil prices jumped after health authorities in top global crude importer China eased some of the country's heavy COVID curbs. The S&P 500 (.SPX) and Nasdaq (.IXIC) racked up their biggest daily percentage gains in over 2-1/2 years on Thursday after U.S. data showed prices rose less-than-expected in October. Market bets on the Fed raising rates by 50 basis points instead of 75 basis points increased. US inflation, Fed rates and marketsDOLLAR DIVEInvestors poured into risky assets after the U.S. data, with the dollar suffering its biggest daily drop in 13 years on Thursday. Meanwhile, oil prices rose on Friday after the U.S. inflation data but were on track for weekly declines of more than 4% due to COVID-related worries in China.
After four consecutive 75 basis-point interest rate hikes to tame decades-high inflation, the case is now building for the Fed to moderate its aggressive stance, said Rodrigo Catril, senior currency strategist at National Australia Bank in Sydney. Financial markets have now priced in an 85% likelihood of a smaller, 50 basis-point interest rate hike at the conclusion of next month's FOMC policy meeting, according to CME's Fedwatch tool. Mainland China stocks (.SSEC) opened 2.1% higher, while Hong Kong shares (.HSI) shot up 6.5% in early trade. In the currency market, the U.S. dollar index slumped more than 2% overnight to 108.100, the most in over a decade. Meanwhile, oil prices rose on Friday as fears of a U.S. recession eased but they were on track for weekly declines of more than 4% due to COVID-related worries in China.
But European shares headed higher (.STOXX), having opened softer, drawing some comfort from upbeat bank earnings. Deutsche Bank (DBKGn.DE) posted a better-than-expected jump in third quarter profit, while British bank Barclays (BARC.L) too beat profit forecasts on a trading boom. MSCI's World Stock Index (.MIWO00000PUS) touched a five-week high, while Asian shares rallied. The Bank of Canada is widely expected to raise rates by another 75 bps later in the day to contain stubbornly high inflation. In Australia, inflation raced to a 32-year high last quarter as the cost of home building and gas surged.
SINGAPORE, Oct 21 (Reuters) - Asian shares tracked Wall Street lower on Friday while Treasury yields scaled 14-year highs as the prospect of aggressive interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve and recession risks soured investor sentiment. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) was down 0.55% but above the two-and-a-half year low it touched on Thursday. Australia's resources-heavy share index (.AXJO) lost 0.74%, while Japan's Nikkei (.N225) opened 0.38% lower. U.S. benchmark 10-year Treasury yields to as much as 4.234%, its highest level since June 2008. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterReporting by Ankur Banerjee; Editing by Lincoln FeastOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) edged up 0.2%, but further gains were capped by slight falls in Chinese shares. Japan's Nikkei (.N225) advanced 0.4%, Australia's resources-heavy shares (.AXJO) gained 0.4%, while South Korea (.KS11) rebounded 0.5%. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterU.S. S&P 500 futures rose 0.8% and the Nasdaq futures jumped 1.3%. Netflix Inc (NFLX.O) reversed customer losses that had hammered its stock this year and projected more growth ahead, sending shares 14% higher in after-hours trading. Chris Turner, global head of markets at ING, said a quiet week for U.S. data could also see the dollar correction extend a little.
According to Australia's Bureau of Statistics, Australia's inflation rate rose to 6.1 in June, a 21-year high. Australia's unemployment rate stood at 3.5% in August, and household savings ratio fell to 8.7% in the March to June quarter. Additionally, a small share of borrowers with high debt and low savings are "vulnerable" to payment difficulties. In addition, Assistant Treasurer Stephen Jones cautioned that Australia's economy is not "hermetically sealed" from the forecasted downturn of the international economy, Sky news reported. This will in turn have an impact on Australia's growth forecast.
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