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— - 5 John Hussman - 1 Hussman - 1 he's - 1 Black Swan - 1 Mark Spitznagel - 1 Spitznagel - 1 Swan - 1
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Search resuls for: "AAII's"


7 mentions found


☆ Stocks are primed to tumble into a bear market as bullish investors have driven equities to 1929 extremes, famed fund manager says
  + stars: | 2024-05-07 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
The stock market looks poised to fall from its extreme heights, legendary investor John Hussman said. Hussman said the stock market is mirroring the extremes leading up the 1929 crash. The S&P 500 has broken a series of record highs this year, and has regained momentum in recent days after a lackluster month in April. AdvertisementHussman's firm is expecting the S&P 500 to underperform Treasury bonds by 9.3% a year for the next 12 years, based on his firm's internal metrics. Just 39% of investors said they were bullish on stocks over the next 6 months, according to the AAII's latest Investor Sentiment Survey.
Persons: John Hussman, Hussman, he's, — Organizations: Service, Investment Trust, Investor
☆ The Fed will only cut rates when it's panicking over a recession and a market crash, Black Swan investor says
  + stars: | 2024-04-28 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
Investors should be wary of coming Fed rate cuts, Black Swan investor Mark Spitznagel warned. That's because the Fed is only cutting rates in response to a weakening economy, Spitznagel told Reuters last week. The US could see a recession and major stock crash before rates head lower, he predicted. That's because the Fed is only likely to ease monetary policy when the economy is slammed with a recession and the market is flailing, according to famous "Black Swan" investor Mark Spitznagel. "There are lag effects when you reset interest rates like we had."
Persons: Black Swan, Mark Spitznagel, Spitznagel, —, Swan, Nassim Taleb Organizations: Reuters, Service, Federal Reserve, Universa, Federal, National Association of Business Economics, Investor
☆ Recession odds are 'very high' as economy looks poised to see an unemployment wave and plunging consumer spending, chief economist says
  + stars: | 2024-03-14 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
The odds of a recession are "very high" in the US, according to Joe LaVorgna. AdvertisementThe odds of the economy tipping into a recession are "very high," as the US is poised to see a wave of unemployment and a major drop in consumer spending. Advertisement"All three of those metrics are still flashing recession," LaVorgna said. AdvertisementStrong consumer spending on goods also looks poised to drop, which could end up dragging economic growth lower, LaVorgna said. "It makes me think recession risk … still has a very high probability," he added.
Persons: Joe LaVorgna, LaVorgna, — Organizations: Service, Nikko Securities, Rosenberg Research, Treasury, Investor Locations: Nikko
☆ Nearly everyone has given up on their recession call, and that makes the outlook 'dangerously reminiscent' of 2007, SocGen says
  + stars: | 2024-03-13 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
Recession views are dangerously similar to those in 2007, SocGen's Albert Edwards said. Soft landing or no landing outlooks are growing on Wall Street as the US appears on solid economic footing. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Those signs appear lost on many other market commentators, who have dialed back their recession views in the last few months. "All this is (dangerously) reminiscent of 2007, when all around were telling me I was wrong and should give up calling that much-delayed recession," he later added.
Persons: SocGen's Albert Edwards, Edwards, —, Société, Albert Edwards, That's, Doom, Nouriel Roubini Organizations: Service, Chicago, York Fed's Survey, Consumer, National Federation of Independent Business, National Association of Business, Fed, Investor Locations: York
☆ These unique assets are now a popular way to lock in yield. What to know about defined maturity ETFs
  + stars: | 2023-11-24 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +8 min
After being on the market for more than a decade, defined maturity bond funds are finally attracting attention. Traditional open end, bond mutual funds or bond ETFs, on the other hand, have no maturity date. One big advantage over owning individual bonds, however, is that defined maturity ETFs are easy to purchase on the stock exchange. How they work Each defined maturity bond fund holds securities in the same sector that come due in the calendar year chosen for the fund. Callable bonds are simply those that can be redeemed or paid off by the issuer prior to the bonds' maturity date, according to the Securities and Exchange Commission.
Persons: Charles Rotblut, Bonds, Sarajat Samant, Karen Veraa, BlackRock's, —, Veraa, IBonds, Invesco, Treasury iBond, Jason Bloom, Invesco's Bloom, haven't, I'm, BlackRock's Veraa, Morningstar's, Samant, AAII's Organizations: Investors, American Association of, Treasury, BlackRock, Securities and Exchange Commission, Invesco Locations: BlackRock's iShares, U.S
☆ AI hype driven by names like Nvidia is finally luring retail investors back into the stock market
  + stars: | 2023-06-08 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
Retail investors have finally returned to the stock market, lured by the AI hype, Vanda Research said. The firm said retail investors helped drive a daily average flow of $1.36 billion into the stock market over the past week. The hype in artificial intelligence stocks like Nvidia, combined with the resolution of the US debt ceiling last week helped finally push retail investors back into the stock market. AI stocks should also see continued buying pressure from retail investors in the coming weeks, according to the note, and there's still room to run as retail investors buying activity has not yet reached worrying levels. Ultimately, the return of the retail investor to the stock market should help drive stock prices higher despite worries of a looming recession and frothy valuations from more bearish investors, according to Vanda.
Persons: Vanda, Giacomo Pierantoni, there's, Pierantoni Organizations: Vanda Research, Morning, Nvidia
☆ The conditions needed for a stock market bottom are forming as investors get overly bearish, JPMorgan says
  + stars: | 2022-09-26 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
Conditions are forming that suggest a stock market bottom could be near, JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic said. To Kolanovic's point, investors are growing increasingly bearish on the stock market. AAII's most recent investor sentiment survey showed just 17.7% of its respondents were bullish on the direction of stock prices over the next six months. But overly bearish sentiment readings rarely (if ever) serve as a catalyst that will launch stock prices higher. That would help drive another tactical bounce in growth stocks, according to the note, and could ultimately end the significant drop in the stock market.
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