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☆ Investors are getting it wrong about Apple — again, Bank of America says
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Investors are again underestimating Apple's gross profit margins, according to Bank of America. In actuality, the company exceeded those expectations, reporting 44% gross margins last year. Looking ahead, Mohan estimates that vertical integration and product mix could yield more than 100 basis points of upside to Apple's gross margins. He also estimates that Apple's utilization of its own internal modems could add 110 basis points to product gross margins and 160 basis points of iPhone gross margins. "Pricing is an additional level that Apple can employ to further increase gross margins."

Persons: Wamsi Mohan, Mohan, Samik Chatterjee Organizations: Bank of America, Apple, Products, Services, Bank of, JPMorgan, Cap Tech

☆ Earnings playbook: Your guide to the biggest reports this week, including Netflix and Tesla
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-21 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +10 min

Nearly 70 S & P 500 companies are slated to report earnings this week. Of the roughly 52 S & P 500 companies that have reported, just 69% have beaten earnings expectations, according to FactSet. What history shows: Bespoke Investment Group data shows United beats earnings expectations 70% of the time. What history shows: Bespoke data shows Netflix exceeds earnings estimates 81% of the time. What history shows: Bespoke data shows Alaska Air tops bottom-line estimate 72% of the time.

Persons: Buckle, Leslie Josephs, Max, Procter & Gamble, Robert Ottenstein, Procter, headwinds, Trian's Nelson Peltz, —, Alan Gould, Jordan Novet, Tesla, TSLA, Elon Musk, Elon, Jefferies, Philippe Houchois, INTC, Timothy Arcuri Organizations: Netflix, Intel, Investors, CNBC, Monday United Airlines, Boeing, Max, Alaska Airlines, FAA, Procter &, Procter, Gamble, HBO, IBM, ISI, Alaska Air Group, Alaska Air, Nvidia, AMD, UBS Locations: Alaska, U.S, China, Europe

☆ Wolfe Research says investors are too optimistic and sees the S&P 500 dropping 8% in 2024
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-05 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

If this year's early Santa Claus rally is any indication, investors may be getting too optimistic about the prospects of a rate cut early next year, according to Wolfe Research. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S & P 500 hit fresh year-to-date closing highs on Friday. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 YTD chart Investors have been sending stocks flying on the back of expectations that the Federal Reserve will adopt more dovish policy next year. Senyek's base line scenario for 2024 sees these factors bringing the S & P 500 to 4,250 by year-end 2024, implying about an 8% drop. His bull case takes the S & P 500 up to 4,995 for a 9% gain, while his bear case calls stocks to plunge 22% to 3,565.

Persons: Santa Claus, Chris Senyek, Senyek Organizations: Wolfe Research, Dow Jones Industrial, Federal Reserve, Traders, pharma Locations: Santa, U.S

REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Nov 8 (Reuters) - If the notorious 'term premium' is evaporating again, then last month's bond rout may just have been a nightmare. "If that's coming from term premium and it's tightening, then we have got to take that into account." As Summers estimated this week, a term premium just back at 60-year averages would put it at 150bps - 130bps above current levels. Morgan Stanley estimates an additional near $1 trillion in gross debt sales from G7 governments are coming down the pike next year. Morgan Stanley chart on G7 debt sales in 2024Reuters GraphicsThe opinions expressed here are those of the author, a columnist for Reuters.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Christopher Waller, Larry Summers, selloff, York Fed's, Jerome Powell, Austan Goolsbee, Lisa Cook, Summers, Morgan Stanley, Mike Dolan, Josie Kao Organizations: REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Fed, ., The, NY, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Chicago Fed, Congress, Thomson Locations: York, midyear, 150bps

At its latest meeting, the Fed laced its statement and minutes with a rider about cumulative tightening and uncertain lags. The gist of the argument is that the Fed doesn't deliver credit directly to the wider economy - banks and financial markets do. But few seem to doubt that these policy lags have shortened considerably over the decades. Showcasing the study in December, San Francisco Fed chief Mary Daly adopted a more dovish slant on the gap between the funds rate and tightening financial markets. "But investors should remain attentive to the occasional episodic disconnects observed between Fed guidance and some prominent indices of financial conditions," Clarida told clients.

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