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☆ Here are Tuesday's biggest analyst calls: Nvidia, Tesla, Apple, Roblox, Tesla, Qualcomm, Disney & more
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-23 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Here are Tuesday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Loop initiates MongoDB as buy Loop sees growth accelerating for the developer data platform company. JPM reiterates General Motors and Ford as overweight JPMorgan said the stocks will benefit from "lower commodities & higher production outside China." JPMorgan upgrades Assai to overweight from neutral JPMorgan said it sees improving trends and better visibility for the Brazilian wholesaler. JPMorgan upgrades Roblox to overweight from neutral JPMorgan said it sees a "compelling entry point" for the stock. JPMorgan downgrades Five Below to neutral from overweight JPMorgan downgraded Five Below due to "ongoing macro pressure."

Persons: JPM, JPMorgan, KeyBanc, Wells, D.A, Davidson, Davidson's, Berenberg, Morgan Stanley, Harley, Evercore, it's bullish, it's, Tesla, Rosenblatt, Oppenheimer, Dwight, Key, Truist, Wolfe, Warner, Price Organizations: Motors, Ford, GM, Nvidia, MU, BMO, prem, NICE, JPMorgan, Barclays, Apple, Albertsons, Catalyst Watch, NOVA, Penn Entertainment, PENN, ESPN Bet, Benchmark, Qualcomm, Warner Brothers, Warner, HBO Locations: China, Texas, U.S

The overall personal consumption expenditures price index rose 2% for the month, as did the core index that omits food and energy costs. On an annual basis, the overall index remained unchanged at 2.6% while the core fell to 2.9% from 3.2% in November. The rise in the core index was the slowest since the spring of 2021. The core index is often cited by Fed officials as their barometer for inflation. “The meeting statement is likely to drop the hawkish bias from its forward guidance, but stop short of signaling rate cuts.

Persons: ”, Robert Frick, “, Lydia Boussour, Jerome Powell, Jeremy Schwartz, Ruchir Sharma Organizations: Federal, Economic, Fed, Navy Federal Credit Union, Federal Reserve, Reserve, Nomura Securities, Nomura, Aichi Amemiya

The U.S. economy ended 2023 with a bang, as growth in gross domestic product in the fourth quarter came in at 3.3%, easily dashing expectations on strong consumer spending and exports. Economists had predicted a gain of 2% for the quarter following the third quarter’s 4.9% increase, driven by strong consumer spending, rebuilding of inventories and a resilient labor market. Although 2023 outperformed, defying predictions of a recession even as the Federal Reserve raised interest rates to a level not seen in four decades, most economists are forecasting growth slowing this year. The strong fourth quarter number is likely to cast doubt on whether the Fed will begin cutting interest rates as early as the market thinks. “Consumers will likely remain cautious with their spending as they confront ‘cost fatigue’ and less vibrant labor market conditions.

Persons: ”, Steve Rick, Gregory Daco, Daco, Jerome Powell, “, ” Daco Organizations: Federal Reserve, TruStage, “, Fed, Labor Department Locations: U.S, Ukraine

☆ Japan shares hit three-decade high, yuan shoves dollar down
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-20 | by ( Wayne Cole | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Passersby are reflected on an electric stock quotation board outside a brokerage in Tokyo, Japan April 18, 2023. Financial shares led the gains on Monday as investors prepare for an eventual end to negative rates, while auto makers have been benefiting from a weak yen and high exports. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) gained 0.8%, having climbed 2.8% last week to a two-month high. Chinese blue chips (.CSI300) dipped 0.2% as the country's central bank held rates steady as widely expected, but set a firm fix for the yuan that saw the dollar slip under 7.2000 to a three-month low. Sweden's central bank meets this week and may hike again, given high inflation and the weakness of its currency.

Persons: Issei Kato, Goldman Sachs, Brent, Wayne Cole, Lincoln Organizations: REUTERS, Nikkei, Nvidia, Japan's Nikkei, Financial, Hamas, Nasdaq, Tech, Futures, U.S, Bank of Japan, European Central Bank, NAB, ECB, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, SYDNEY, Asia, Pacific, Israel, United States, Gaza, October's

☆ Japan shares hit three-decade high, yuan climbs
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-20 | by ( Wayne Cole | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Passersby are reflected on an electric stock quotation board outside a brokerage in Tokyo, Japan April 18, 2023. Financial shares led the gains on Monday as investors prepare for an eventual end to negative rates, while auto makers have been benefiting from a weak yen and high exports. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) edged up 0.1%, having climbed 2.8% last week to a two-month high. That outlook helped bonds rally, with 10-year Treasury yields at 4.45% having dropped 19 basis points last week and away from October's 5.02% high. Sweden's central bank meets this week and may hike again, given high inflation and the weakness of its currency.

☆ Asia off to slow start, lot of easing already priced in
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-20 | by ( Wayne Cole | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) edged up 0.1%, having climbed 2.8% last week to a two-month high. Japan's Nikkei (.N225) was little changed, and is up almost 9% for the month so far amid upbeat corporate earnings. A LOT PRICED INMarkets have all but priced out the risk of a further hike in December or next year, and imply a 30% chance of an easing starting in March. Futures also imply around 100 basis points of cuts for 2024, up from 77 basis points before the benign October inflation report shook markets. "If another soft print eventuates, expect pricing for ECB cuts to extend beyond the current 100bps of cuts being priced for 2024."

Persons: Issei Kato, Goldman Sachs, Brent nudged, Wayne Cole, Lincoln Organizations: REUTERS, Nikkei, Nvidia, Hamas, Japan's Nikkei, Nasdaq, Tech, Futures, U.S, European Central Bank, NAB, ECB, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, SYDNEY, Israel, United States, Gaza, Asia, Pacific, October's

☆ Treasury yields slip further amid hopes of a 'dovish pivot' by the Fed
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-17 | by ( Katrina Bishop | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The 2-year Treasury yield was last trading at 4.82%, 2 basis points lower. U.S. Treasury yields continued to slip Friday as investors bet that the U.S. Federal Reserve's rate-hiking campaign could finally be over. The producer price index, released Wednesday, showed a 0.5% decline in October — whereas economists had expected a slight increase. Earlier this week, October's consumer price index reading also came in lower than forecast. The core consumer price index, which excludes food and energy, fell to a two-year low of 4% on an annual basis.

Persons: Henry Allen Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Deutsche Locations: U.S, U.S . Federal

☆ Morning Bid: Inflation on the ropes, shutdown averted
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-15 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 26, 2023. Much like then, the sheer scale of the yield swoon has stoked bond volatility gauges (.MOVE) too. What's more, a quarter point rate cut by May is now 80% priced and 100bps of easing through 2024 is now baked in. U.S. corporate news stays on retail later as Target reports earnings, following a beat by Home Depot on Tuesday. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, Xi Jinping's, Joe Biden, Russell, Austan Goolsbee, Berkshire Hathaway, Warren Buffett, Michael Barr, Thomas Barkin, Jonathan Haskel, Xi Jinping, Bernadette Baum Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Wall, Chicago Fed, Bank of America, Home Depot, Berkshire, General Motors, Procter, Gamble, Richmond Fed, Bank of England, APEC, Cisco Systems, Palo Alto Networks, Reuters, NFIB, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Wall, UK's, York, San Francisco

A recently edgy bond market gobbled all that up. Funds' bonds allocation in November soared 18 points over the month to leave them net 19% overweight - almost 3 standard deviations above long-term averages. Asset managers' overweight bond positions - or at least those in government bonds and U.S. Treasuries - tends to be mirrored by big short positions in Treasury futures among speculative hedge funds. CFTC numbers show the scale of that speculative 'Big Short' on the flipside of the mounting 'Big Long' built by regular asset managers. Lamont points out that U.S. Treasury yields and investment grade corporate debt yields would have to rise about another 100bps for the capital losses to wipe out current yields.

Persons: Sarah Silbiger, Lazard, Ronald Temple, Lombard Odier's Florian Ielpo, Duncan Lamont, Lamont, Jason Pride, Mike Dolan, Susan Fenton Organizations: El Progreso Market, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, Bank of America's, Treasury, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Mount Pleasant, Washington ,, what's

☆ Market reactions to Powell speech
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-25 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +8 min

"It is the Fed's job to bring inflation down to our 2% goal, and we will do so," Powell said. "August has been a difficult month for the market, so it is hungry for news that will help reverse the trend. Investors are hanging on to every word, but the main takeaway is that Powell signaled that the Fed would raise rates if needed. Rather than last year's short but brutal speech, Powell opted for a longer and calmer speech. KARL SCHAMOTTA, CHIEF MARKET STRATEGIST, CORPAY, TORONTO"On balance, this is a modestly less hawkish speech than markets had feared.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, CHRISTOPHER HODGE, MICHAEL GREEN, ANDRE BAKHOS, CARSTEN BRZESKI, Ann Saphir, Christine, Lagarde, ” JOSEPH LAVORGNA, “, ” STUART COLE, ” QUINCY KROSBY, there's, DAVID WAGNER, Jackson, BRIAN JACOBSEN, patting, KARL SCHAMOTTA, Bernanke, Draghi Organizations: U.S . Federal, Federal, NFP, Fed, ING, Kansas City, REUTERS, CHIEF, CPI, Global Finance, Markets, Thomson Locations: U.S, JERSEY, FRANKFURT, Kansas, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, NIKKO, LONDON, CHARLOTTE, NORTH CAROLINA, CINCINNATI , OHIO, WISCONSIN, TORONTO

☆ Here are Monday's biggest analyst calls: Nvidia, Boeing, Alphabet, Okta, Costco, Dick's, Tesla & more
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-14 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Bank of America reiterates Morgan Stanley as buy Bank of America said the investment bank is "best-in-class." "Initiate at Buy with a Street-high target price of USD72; we like Monster for its market positioning and growth opportunity." "While we turned more optimistic on MOS ahead of this year's crop season, we now see minor downside from current share price levels." Bank of America adds Boeing to the US1 list Bank of America added the stock to its top picks list. Bank of America reiterates Alphabet as buy Bank of America said it remains "constructive" on Alphabet's AI-driven ad products.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Parsons, Tesla, Evercore, Morgan Stanley, it's, JPMorgan, Dick's, Bernstein, Marriott, Telsey, Ulta, Eli Lilly, Stifel Organizations: Teledyne, Bank of America, underperform Bank of America, PSN, U.S, Infrastructure, EU, " Bank of America, Nvidia, HSBC, Barclays, Target, JPMorgan, Hilton, Sports, UBS, Walmart, Base, Costco, Mosaic, Boeing, Boeing Co, Northrop Grumman Corp, Citi, Urban Outfitters Locations: U.S, LLY

☆ The stock market is ignoring the yield curve. History says that's a bad idea
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-23 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The 2-year Treasury yield was trading at 4.752% on Friday, more than 100 basis points , or 1 percentage point, above the 10-year Treasury yield . The yield curve is considered inverted when short-term rates are above long-term ones, a phenomenon that has almost always predated a recession. 10Y2YS 1Y mountain The U.S. Treasury yield curve has become deeply inverted over the past year. But despite the deeply inverted curve, stocks are rallying — even the economically sensitive industrial names. He also drew a connection between the current yield curve and the market conditions in the late 1970s.

Persons: —, Chris Verrone, Verrone, Goldman Sachs, Wolfe, Chris Senyek, Jerome, Senyek, Paul Volcker, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Treasury Locations: U.S

☆ Here are Friday's biggest analyst calls: Apple, Amazon, Broadcom, Bowlero, Microsoft, Rivian & more
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-02 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Here are Friday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Bank of America reiterates Broadcom as buy Bank of America raised its price target on the stock to $950 per share from $800 after Broadcom's earnings report on Thursday. "Our new PO of $950 (from $800) represents 21x CY24E EV/FCF as AI accelerates company growth potential. Bank of America reiterates Five Below as buy Bank of America said the discount retailer has "recession resilience." Bank of America upgrades Surgery Partners to buy from neutral Bank of America said the health care company has " favorable long-term tailwinds." Bank of America reiterates Lululemon as buy Bank of America said Lululemon is a "best-in-class growth story."

Persons: it's, Riley FBR, Riley, Piper Sandler downgrades, Piper, Morgan Stanley, Apple, it's bullish, Wells, Stifel, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, 100bps, Frank Klein, Tim Fallon, Tim Bei, Derek Mulvey, RIVN, Lululemon Organizations: Bank of America, Broadcom, Warner Music, JPMorgan, Energy, Surgery Partners, of America, Partners, Amazon, Microsoft, ISI, Barclays, Strategic Finance, Citi, Frontier Citi, LaGuardia, Spirit Airlines, Watch Locations: Valvoline, Biopharma, Agriculture, Normal , IL

KARACHI, Pakistan, April 4 (Reuters) - Pakistan's central bank raised its key interest rate by 100 basis points to a record 21% on Tuesday, as the cash-strapped country stepped up its fight against soaring consumer prices. Investors polled by Reuters had expected an even-bigger rate hike of 200 basis point from the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), which is facing on consumer price inflation that hit a record annual level of just over 35% in March. Worldwide growth in consumer prices has compounded high inflation in Pakistan caused by a weakening currency, energy tariff increases and elevated food prices due to Ramadan. The SBP has hiked the key rate by cumulatively by 1025 bps since January 2022. In early March, the bank raised its key rate by 300 basis points to 20%, exceeding market expectations, likely to meet a key requirement of the IMF for release of bailout funds.

☆ Historic move in Treasury yields signals high inflation but maybe not a recession anytime soon
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-08 | by ( Patti Domm | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

An inverted yield curve is considered a forewarning for recession, and the already-inverted yield curve stretched even wider this week to its most inverted level since 1981. The yield curve becomes inverted when short-duration yields rise above longer duration yields, as in the case of the 2-year Treasury yield and the 10-year yield. 10Y2YS 1Y line inversion Recession or a sign of inflation? The current shape of the yield curve tells you more about sticky inflation." Golub said the outcome of the inverted curve's recession warning has been different in periods of high inflation versus low inflation.

☆ Here's what most investors think will happen with the stock market next year
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-08 | by ( Carmen Reinicke | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Investors aren't feeling bullish on stock market performance in 2023, especially after a dismal yearly return in 2022. More than half of those surveyed by Deutsche Bank on their expectations for the coming year said they expect a zero or negative return in the S & P 500 . Nearly 40% said they think the S & P 500 will slip 10% or more, and nearly 20% expect the index to end the year flat or down 5%. Another negative annual return on the S & P 500 would mark a milestone for stocks not seen in roughly two decades. After the rough performance of 2022, investors aren't expecting things to get much better.

☆ Swedish c.bank set to hike policy rate to 2.5% this week, poll shows
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-21 | by ( Simon Johnson | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

But core inflation continues to pick up speed and thirteen of sixteen analysts in the poll forecast a hike to 2.5% when the central bank announces it policy decision on Nov. 24. "After high inflation in October, most indications point to a rate hike by at least 75 bps," banking group SEB said. The central bank forecast rates would peak at 2.5%. Households are already struggling with a cost-of-living crisis and the economy is expected to slow sharply - banking group Nordea expects a 2% contraction in GDP and the central bank a 0.7% fall in 2023. Furthermore, the European Central Bank (ECB) doubled its deposit rate to 1.5% at the end of October and promised more tightening in the months to come.

☆ Lowe's downgraded at Evercore ISI, cites slowing home improvement demand
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-19 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

A slowdown in home improvement demand could spell trouble for Lowe's future growth outlook, Evercore ISI says. "Our downgrade is based on the view that slower [home improvement] demand and disinflation could push comps lower in 2023, making margin gains muted," Melich said. In the home improvement market, Evercore ISI views shares of Home Depot more attractively, given that retailer's Pro business and exposure to contractors and professionals. Lowe's shares have slumped about 25% this year (vs a 30% loss at Home Depot). Despite a tricky outlook ahead, Evercore ISI expects Lowe's to benefit from damage brought about by Hurricane Ian.

☆ Sterling weakens as inflation returns to 40-year highs
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-19 | by ( Lucy Raitano | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

At 0845 GMT, the pound was down 0.4% against the dollar at $1.12750 pence , and down 0.18% versus the euro at 87.220 pence <EURGBP=D3. Wednesday's CPI data showed the consumer price index (CPI) increased by 10.1% in annual terms in September, in a new blow for households grappling with a cost-of-living crisis. The U-turn on the fiscal plans prompted traders to curb their bets on the Bank of England raising interest rates. Truss has so far defied calls for her resignation, though markets are increasingly considering the possibility of her imminent replacement. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterReporting by Lucy Raitano; Editing by Andrew CawthorneOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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