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By almost any objective measure, Americans are doing much better economically than they were nearly three years ago, when President Joe Biden took office. Inflation hangoverSharply higher prices in 2021 and 2022 marked a painful economic moment for households around the world. The partisan gapCNN’s latest poll shows that Republicans and Democrats are both souring on President Biden’s handling of the economy. “People are no longer telling us how they feel about the economy — really, they’re telling us how they feel about the president,” Wolfers said. Either way, that poses a political problem for President Biden, whose re-election campaign has sought to highlight the economy’s strengths.
Persons: New York CNN —, Joe Biden, SSRS, , There’s, , Justin Wolfers, Wolfers, That’s, ” Wolfers, you’d, ” Morgan Stanley, Jamie Kelter Davis, Carola Binder, , Biden, It’s, Biden’s, David Axelrod, — CNN’s Matt Egan Organizations: New, New York CNN, CNN, University of Michigan, P Global Market Intelligence, Atlanta, Bloomberg, Getty, United, Index, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Haverford College, Biden, , White House Locations: New York, Wolfers, United States, Ukraine
The case for a 2023 US recession is crumbling
  + stars: | 2023-06-05 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
New York CNN —Many CEOs, investors and economists had penciled in 2023 as the year when a recession would hit the American economy. But the case for a 2023 US recession is crumbling for a simple reason: America’s jobs market is way too strong. Zandi is growing more confident that 2023 won’t be the year when a downturn will begin. “We’re running out of time for a 2023 recession,” Justin Wolfers, an economics professor at the University of Michigan, told CNN. Friday’s jobs report did offer some conflicting signals, especially in the household survey, which economists put less weight on because it tends to be noisier.
Persons: Mark Zandi, won’t, ” Zandi, , Justin Wolfers, “ We’ve, payrolls, Wolfers, They’ve, ” Wolfers, ” Macy’s, Zandi, Joe Brusuelas, Morgan Stanley Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Moody’s, CNN, University of Michigan, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bank of America, Challenger, RSM Locations: New York,
CNN —Two converging crises are testing American confidence in their financial well-being. And there’s a debt crisis, which is becoming more urgent as the US approaches the “X-date” – when it would default – and on which opposing lawmakers aren’t currently talking to each other. First Republic Bank was taken over by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation on Monday, and most of its assets were sold to JPMorgan Chase. Maintaining confidenceNone of that means this is a golden chapter for the American financial system. Now, the debt crisis and the X-dateIf only American lawmakers could take a cue from the First Republic saga and get into a room to solve the debt crisis.
It's time to chill with al the recession talk
  + stars: | 2023-02-06 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +8 min
New York CNN —In 2021, a bunch of economists and policy makers underestimated the inflation that was taking root around the world. In 2022, as inflation hit 40-year-highs and the Fed ramped up interest rates, many of those commentators went full-on gloomy — predicting a recession was all but inevitable. And that makes it hard, if not impossible, to imagine a recession anytime soon. “Any concern the economy is in recession or close to a recession should be completely dashed by these numbers,” Moody’s Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi told CNN on Friday. “The economy is further away from recession than ever,” wrote Christopher Rupkey, chief economist at Fwdbonds.
Earlier this week, the consensus estimate among economists was that the US economy likely added about 185,000 jobs in January. But the economy had other ideas, adding more than half a million jobs in January. Here are three key things to take away from Friday’s jobs report. The report shocked Wall Street economistsThe headlines that came at 8:30 am ET Friday left economists stunned: America added 517,000 jobs last month. Much of that speculation centered on the Federal Reserve’s monetary tightening, which aimed to wring inflation from the economy.
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