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Who to Believe? Jerome Powell or the Markets?
  + stars: | 2023-12-04 | by ( Tim Smart | Dec. | At A.M. | ) www.usnews.com   time to read: +4 min
Last Friday provided a split-screen view of the markets and the Federal Reserve. “Indeed, we look for the return of striking workers to add nearly 45K jobs to November’s payrolls. Wednesday brings the first measure of the November job market when private payroll firm ADP releases its monthly survey of employers. October came in at 150,000, a drop from the recent trend of around 200,000 jobs added per month. Consequently, we expect the post-meeting statement will keep the door open to the possibility of additional tightening this cycle.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, ” William Blair, Richard de Chazal, that’s, de Chazal, , payrolls, , Sam Bullard, November’s, Bullard, Wells Fargo Organizations: Federal Reserve, Spelman College, , Futures, United Auto Workers, UAW, Hollywood, Wells, Labor
December consumer prices didn’t actually fall
  + stars: | 2023-02-10 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
Minneapolis CNN —December consumer prices rose from the month before and did not fall as previously thought, according to revised data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics released Friday. The newly calibrated Consumer Price Index shows that prices rose 0.1% on a seasonally adjusted basis in December from November versus a previously estimated decline of 0.1%. The latest annual adjustments show slight shifts in the month-on-month inflation trend for 2022 — with November and October revised up by 0.1 percentage points. “This means that this 2023 CPI report will be based on consumer spending patterns that took place in 2021, as opposed to 2022’s CPI data, which was based on spending data over 2019-2020,” William Blair analyst Richard de Chazal wrote in a note Friday. Here’s how the adjusted data looks for 2022:Month: Original data vs. RevisedJanuary: 0.6% vs. 0.6%February: 0.8% vs. 0.7%March: 1.2% vs. 1%April: 0.3% vs. 0.4%May: 1% vs. 0.9%June: 1.3% vs. 1.2%July: 0.1% vs. 0%August: 0.1% vs. 0.2%September: 0.4% vs. 0.4%October: 0.4% vs. 0.5%November: 0.1% vs. 0.2%December: -0.1% vs. 0.1%
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