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“There are,’’ the Bank of England warns, “more consequences from falling prices than meets the eye.’’What could be so bad about lower prices? It is only now emerging from decades of falling prices that began with the collapse of its property and financial markets in the early 1990s. Mainly because falling prices tend to discourage consumers from spending. Why buy now, after all, if you can purchase what you want — cars, furniture, appliances, vacations — at a lower price later? If consumers were to pull back, en masse, to await lower prices, businesses would face intense pressure to cut prices even more to try to jump-start sales.
Persons: they're, that's, what's, Joe Biden's, ’ ’ Lisa Cook, , United States hasn’t, Tom Krisher Organizations: WASHINGTON, Federal Reserve's Board of Governors, Bank of England, United, España, Unemployed, Bank of Japan, Fed, Bank for International, AP Locations: America, United States, Japan, Spanish, Detroit
Check out the companies making the biggest moves in premarket trading: Rivian Automotive — The EV stock added nearly 4% following an upgrade by Piper Sandler to overweight . Adobe — Shares fell 11% a day after the software company issued weak revenue guidance for its current quarter. Ulta Beauty — Shares tumbled 6.5% a day after the beauty retailer issued full-year earnings guidance that came in on the low end of the consensus forecast. Revenue guidance is in the range of $110.5 million and $112.5 million also below the $113.4 million analyst expectation. Revenue guidance also fell short.
Persons: Piper Sandler, Alexander Potter, Ulta, bitcoin, amortization, Zumiez, , Sarah Min Organizations: Micron Technology, Citi, Micron, Adobe Locations: cryptocurrencies, FactSet
Adobe — Shares slipped 15% after the software company issued weak revenue guidance for its current quarter. Revenue guidance came out in the range between $110.5 million and $112.5 million, also below the $113.4 million expectation from analysts. Smartsheet — The business software provider retreated by 3.2% after posting revenue guidance that was worse than analysts expected. Ulta Beauty — Shares edged lower by 5.3% after the beauty products retailer posted disappointing full-year earnings guidance. Steel Dynamics — Shares of the Indiana-based steelmaker rose more than 2% after strong earnings guidance for the first quarter.
Persons: Geron, Piper Sandler, Jabil, PagerDuty, Smartsheet, Ulta, Stocks, cryptocurrencies, bitcoin, MicroStrategy, Cardlytics, , Alex Harring, Jesse Pound, Lisa Kailai Han, Michelle Fox Theobald Organizations: Geron, U.S, Food, Drug Administration, Micron Technology, Citi, Micron, Adobe, FactSet, Marathon, Steel, Steel Dynamics, Wall Street Locations: Indiana
Goldman Sachs has refreshed its "conviction list" of top picks in Asia Pacific for March, adding some key stocks and removing others. Here are two of the latest additions to Goldman Sachs' conviction list: Xero Goldman analyst Kane Hannan said he was positive on the outlook for New Zealand-headquartered accounting software company Xero . Goldman Sachs has a price target of $152 on the stock, giving it potential upside of around 12%. Hyundai Motor Another addition to Goldman's conviction list is South Korean automobile manufacturer Hyundai Motor . Meanwhile, the Wall Street bank removed Singapore-headquartered bank OCBC and Japanese conglomerate Sony from its conviction list as it no longer deems them "a top investment idea."
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Xero Goldman, Kane Hannan, Hannan, Intuit's Quickbooks, Sage, Kota Yuzawa, Yuzawa, Goldman, Michael Bloom Organizations: Asia, Hyundai, South, Hyundai Motor, Won, Sony Locations: Asia Pacific, U.S, Mar, New Zealand, Australia, South Korean, Singapore
Crypto stocks — Stocks whose performance is tied to the price of bitcoin rose as the cryptocurrency pushed to another record for the third day in a row. Dollar Tree posted adjusted earnings of $2.55 per share on $8.64 billion of revenue for the fourth quarter. Analysts surveyed by LSEG, formerly known as Refinitiv, had penciled in $2.65 per share on $8.67 billion in revenue. GE HealthCare — Shares dropped 3% after the medtech company announced a secondary offering of 13 million shares. Analysts had expected earnings of 2 cents per share on revenue of $1.62 billion, per LSEG.
Persons: Coinbase, MicroStrategy, CleanSpark, Baird, Goldman Sachs, Wells, Raymond James, , Alex Harring, Brian Evans, Samantha Subin, Yun Li, Lisa Kailai Han, Pia Singh, Michelle Fox Organizations: Marathon, Iris Energy, Texas, Nvidia, Devices, Micron Technology —, Micron, AMD, LSEG, GE, , GE HealthCare Technologies, General Electric, Royal, Petco, Wellness Locations: Kentucky, Royal Caribbean
Crypto stocks — Stocks connected to cryptocurrencies rose as Bitcoin hit a fresh record high and topped $71,000. PDD Holdings — U.S.-listed shares of the Chinese ecommerce company added 4.5% following an upgrade by Jefferies to buy. Duolingo — Duolingo shares rose more than 1% after JPMorgan initiated coverage of the online learning platform with an overweight rating, citing expectations for "premium" revenue growth. Xcel Energy ­— Xcel Energy shares added‎ about 2%. New York Community Bancorp — Shares of the regional bank ticked up 1% in premarket trading.
Persons: Jefferies, Duolingo, Oppenheimer, Gamble —, , Jesse Pound, Michelle Fox Organizations: PDD Holdings —, Jefferies, JPMorgan, Energy, Xcel Energy, Barclays, Nvidia, New York Community Bancorp, Netflix, Procter, Gamble, Truist Locations: Temu, China
In its most recent quarter, Lyft posted adjusted earnings of 18 cents per share, more than the LSEG consensus estimate of 8 cents per-share earnings. Revenue of $1.22 billion was in line with analysts' expectations. Robinhood Markets — Shares of Robinhood soared roughly 16.5% after the investing platform beat on earnings and revenue for the fourth quarter. Kraft Heinz — Shares declined more than 1% after the food company posted fourth-quarter revenue that missed expectations. However, adjusted earnings of 78 cents per share was a slight beat, compared to the 77 cents earnings per share expected by analysts.
Persons: Lyft, Robinhood, Angi, DaVita, FactSet, Kraft Heinz —, Kraft Heinz, Akamai, GoDaddy, SentinelOne, bitcoin, Microstrategy, Airbnb, Bernstein, Topgolf, LSEG, It's, — CNBC's Brian Evans, Alex Harring, Tanaya Macheel, Jesse Pound, Pia Singh, Samantha Subin Organizations: LSEG, FactSet, Akamai, Wall, Bank of America, Miners Iris Energy, Marathon Digital, MGM Resorts, Topgolf Callaway, Topgolf Callaway Brands, JPMorgan Locations: LSEG, China, U.S, Detroit
Uber — Uber's shares jumped 11%, climbing to a new 52-week high, after the ride-hailing company announced an inaugural $7 billion share repurchase authorization program. The higher end of the company's full-year earnings per share guidance, $11.40, was also above estimates of $10.83 per share. On Tuesday, DaVita posted earnings of $1.87 per share, ex-items, on $3.15 billion in revenue. Robinhood Markets — Shares of the trading platform jumped 9% after the company posted a surprise earnings and revenue beat. Robinhood posted earnings of 3 cents per share, while analysts expected a 1 cent per share loss, according to LSEG.
Persons: Uber, Uber's, Lyft, IQVIA, Charles River, DaVita, FactSet, Robinhood, Zillow, LSEG, bitcoin, Energy rocketed, CleanSpark, Topgolf Callaway, Akamai, Kraft Heinz, Airbnb, CNBC's Hakyung Kim, Alex Harring, Jesse Pound, Pia Singh, Michelle Fox Organizations: Uber Technologies, Inc, IQVIA Holdings, Charles River Laboratories, Revenue, Miners, Energy, Marathon, MGM Resorts, Hasbro Locations: New York City, FactSet, LSEG, China, Macau, U.S, Detroit
A new poll from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research finds that 35% of U.S. adults call the national economy good. That's an uptick from 30% who said so late last year and up from 24% who said so a year ago. While 65% still call the economy poor, that’s also an improvement from a year ago, when 76% called it poor. The evidence of a stronger economy has yet to spill over into greater support for Biden. “He has a lot on his plate right now and he’s doing quite well,” she said.
Persons: , that’s, Joe Biden, Biden, Donald Trump, Trump, Molly Kapsner, “ He’s, ” David Veksler, Jo Jorgenson, he's, ” Veksler, “ I’m, ” Harry Broadnax, , Broadnax, I’m, doesn't, Lael Brainard, Deborah Shields, she's, Shields, , ” Richard Tunnell, “ He's, ” Tunnell, they’ll Organizations: WASHINGTON, Associated Press, NORC, for Public Affairs Research, Voters, Republican, Biden, Denver, Trump, White, National Economic Council, Republicans, Democratic, Air Force Locations: U.S, Wisconsin, , North Carolina, Orlando , Florida, Huntsville , Texas
Don't trust the stock market rally, strategist warns
  + stars: | 2023-11-03 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
LONDON — Stocks are heading for a bumper week, but there are many reasons to be wary, one strategist warned on Friday. "In short, we don't believe this rally," Salman Ahmed, global head of macro and strategic asset allocation at Fidelity International, told CNBC's "Squawk Box Europe." "We had a tough later part of summer, there was focus on tightening of financial conditions, what was coming from the key central banks." The pan-European Stoxx 600 index is on course for its best weekly performance since late March, according to LSEG data. That comes off the back of a dire October, which was its worst month of the year, and losses in August and September.
Persons: Salman Ahmed, CNBC's, Ahmed Organizations: Fidelity International Locations: impinge
A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, September 6, 2022. U.S. stock futures were flat Monday night as the third-quarter earnings season gains momentum. S&P 500 futures ticked up 0.03%, while Nasdaq 100 futures traded near the flatline. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose 7 basis points to 4.7% on Monday. In addition to Tuesday's earnings reports, Wall Street will also be keeping an eye out for fresh economic data.
Persons: Russell, Johnson, Goldman Sachs, Lockheed Martin, Richard Bernstein, CNBC's, Charles Schwab, George Ball, Sanders Morris Harris Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Treasury, Dow, Johnson, Bank of America, Lockheed, Richard Bernstein Advisors, Monday, JPMorgan Chase Locations: New York City, Israel, Iran
Check out the companies making headlines in midday trading. Sphere Entertainment — Shares of the media and entertainment company climbed 11.1% in midday trading after a U2 show debuted its Las Vegas Sphere venue Friday night. Bitcoin stocks — Stocks tied to digital currency trading advanced in lockstep with a rally in crypto prices. Instacart — Maplebear, the food delivery company doing business as Instacart, fell 9.2% in midday trading. The Wall Street bank said investors should buy the dip after the stock's underperformance in the first half of 2023.
Persons: — Stocks, MicroStrategy, , — Maplebear, Gordon Haskett, Insulet, Jefferies, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Truist, Yun Li, Lisa Kailai Han, Pia Singh, Michelle Fox, Sarah Min, Scott Schnipper Organizations: Madison Square Garden, , Riot, Marathon, Discover Financial, U.S . Securities, Exchange, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Coeur Mining, Hecla Mining, Harmony, Mining, Gold Resource, Barclays, Norfolk Southern, Bank of America, Nvidia —, Nvidia, Apple, JPMorgan, UBS Locations: Las Vegas, lockstep, Coeur, Wall
How does a government shutdown affect the stock market? As far as directly affecting the stock market, however, it would be unusual for a government shutdown to be deeply detrimental. According to Evercore senior managing director Julian Emanuel, "the history of government shutdowns has been largely irrelevant for the stock market. It didn't in 1954 and it didn't in 2020, two 'tight government' years," Emanuel wrote. "But when stocks play politics like they are now and will be for another 13+ months, it does mean more volatility."
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Evercore, Jerome Powell, Julian Emanuel, shutdowns, Emanuel Organizations: Capitol, Wall, Federal Reserve, Fed, Representatives, White, Nvidia, Meta, Vertiv Holdings
NEW YORK (AP) — Stocks wavered on Wall Street Tuesday as traders return from a long holiday weekend to face a relatively quiet week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 43 points, or 0.1%, to 34,792 as of 11:22 a.m. Eastern. Hong Kong’s benchmark fell 2.1%, as investors sold real estate shares which have gained recently following government efforts to support the ailing industry. Wall Street will also get updates on aspects of the manufacturing sector and consumer credit. Analysts are still concerned about the potential for a recession, but those concerns have lessened as inflation cools and the economy remains resilient.
Persons: — Stocks, Kroger, — Elaine Kurtenbach, Matt Ott Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Labor, Technology, Microsoft, . Union Pacific, Energy, Chevron, Investors, The Institute for Supply Management, GameStop, Dave, Federal Reserve, Treasury Locations: U.S, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Europe, Asia
Best Buy — Shares popped nearly 6% after the retailer's fiscal second-quarter earnings beat on both the top and bottom lines. Big Lots — The discount retailer surged 26.7% after its earnings report came in better than analysts expected. Big Lots lost $3.24 per share, on an adjusted basis, less than the $4.11 forecasted by analysts surveyed by FactSet. Bernstein reiterated its outperform rating and said investors should buy the stock after a recent pullback in share prices. Futu Holdings — The Asian wealth management stock popped 10% following a double-upgrade to buy from underperform by Bank of America.
Persons: Heico, Tesla, Morgan Stanley, tailwinds, General Motors, they're, — Catalent, Catalent, Elliott, Ginkgo, Wells, it's, Bernstein, Jefferies, Splunk, Raymond James, , Sarah Min, Samantha Subin, Yun Li, Hakyung Kim, Michelle Fox, Pia Singh, Jesse Pound Organizations: Refintiv, Revenue, FactSet, Marathon, Securities and Exchange Commission, Marathon Digital, Industry, Nvidia, Holdings —, Oracle — Software, Oracle, UBS, Verizon, Citi, General Motors, Google, General, Motors, Elliott Investment Management, Rockwell Automation, Bank of America, Futu Holdings, NextEra Energy Partners Locations: San Francisco , California, underperform
RPT Realty — RPT Realty shares surged 17% after Kimco Realty, an operator of open-air shopping centers, said it would acquire the real estate investment trust in a roughly $2 billion all-stock deal. Mister Car Wash — The car wash stock advanced 6.1% on the back of an upgrade to overweight from neutral by Piper Sandler. Alibaba Group , JD.com — Alibaba and JD.com each added more than 2% after the Chinese government announced measures to boost its stock market, including reducing a tax on trading. Xpeng — Shares of the Chinese electric car company jumped 5.3% after the firm said it is buying Didi's smart electric car development business in an exchange of shares worth $744 million. Meanwhile, Xpeng said it plans to develop an electric car for launch next year under a new mass market brand.
Persons: Conor Flynn, Piper Sandler, — CrowdStrike, Morgan Stanley, , Xpeng, Wells, Sarah Akers, Micron Technology — Stocks, — CNBC's Alexander Harring, Hakyung Kim, Yun Li, Jesse Pound, Pia Singh, Samantha Subin Organizations: RPT, Realty, Kimco Realty, Boston, Boston Scientific, Bloomberg, 3M, Akero Therapeutics, Therapeutics, UBS, Alibaba, Micron Technology —, Micron Technology, Marvell Technology, Semiconductors Locations: Xpeng
Stocks look "pretty pricey" and a recession is "right around the corner," Steve Hanke told Insider. Hanke sees inflation cooling, 10-year Treasury yields falling, and house prices staying afloat. As for the housing market, Hanke noted there's a shortage of homes for sale. Steve Hanke is professor of applied economics at Johns Hopkins University. "With lower inflation and a recession right around the corner, I anticipate that the 10-year yields will come down and the gap will close," Hanke said.
Persons: Steve Hanke, Johns Hopkins, Hanke, Portia Crowe, Ronald Reagan, Price, bode Organizations: Treasury, Service, Johns Hopkins University, Toronto Trust, Federal Locations: Wall, Silicon, Toronto Trust Argentina
Historically, a median pullback in earnings would mean a 15-20% drop in the S&P 500. The Bureau of Labor Statistics announced on June 2 that the US labor market added 339,000 jobs in May — more than economists had expected. Historically, the Fed tightening cycle takes 18 – 24 months to impact the labor market." Madison Hoff/InsiderHistory shows a recession would mean a rough ride ahead for the stock market, Goodwin said. The median S&P 500 price target among major Wall Street strategists is 4,000, which is 7% lower than current levels.
Persons: Lauren Goodwin, Goodwin, Madison Hoff, Michael Kantrowitz, Piper Sandler, Piper Sandler Piper Sandler, it's, Kantrowitz, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, David Rosenberg, , Louis Organizations: York Life Investments, Labor Statistics, New York Life Investments, Rosenberg Research, Federal Reserve Bank of St
The transition to clean energy won't be equal across sectors, according to Morgan Stanley Research. The Wall Street bank broke down segments of the energy transition that will benefit and others that will be challenged by the transition to clean energy. For this list, CNBC picked stocks Morgan Stanley thinks stand to benefit from the move toward clean energy, with a special focus on shares with overweight and equal weight ratings. The stocks in this list fall into one of four categories: — Energy storage and fuel cells. "Not all incumbent utilities will gain from the energy transition," Byrd wrote Wednesday.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Stephen Byrd, Stocks, Byrd, Morgan Stanley's Organizations: Morgan Stanley Research, CNBC, Products, Chemicals Inc, Linde PLC, Air Products, Chemicals, Energy, Occidental Petroleum, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Oil, Pacific Gas and, Edison International Locations: California, U.S
In a recent note, Morningstar shared its top 33 undervalued stocks to buy for the second quarter. While the near term may look difficult for investors, Sekera believes that these headwinds will force the Federal Reserve to pump the brakes on its rate-hiking program sooner rather than later. Valuations-wise, small-cap firms remain the cheapest, while mid-cap and large-cap stocks respectively remain just below and above market average. In a separate note, Morningstar analysts listed their top 33 undervalued stocks for the second quarter of 2023. The full list of names is below, along with each company's ticker, sector, market capitalization, and price versus fair value estimate.
That brings us to today's main story — economists say the official data coming out of Russia isn't painting an accurate picture of Putin's wartime economy. "These are the things that businesses deliver and consumers purchase in an economy, and they have been absorbing the impact. Our tracker shows a contraction of the Russian economy ahead of the official figures release precisely because we use high-frequency indicators from the private economy." Vehicle sales, imports, credit growth, home prices, and other measures all point to a much less robust regime since Vladimir Putin's war on Ukraine began. These four charts tell the story of how war has reshaped Russia over the last year.
He recommended the Global X Aging Population ETF , which includes not just health-care companies and pharmaceutical firms, but also wearables and medical device companies such as Cochlear, GN Store Nord and Teleflex. China's 'very promising bets' Investors can look to focus on China's aging population by market reach or income segment, according to Leverage Shares' Rao. As for investors looking to get exposure to China's wealthier income segment, he named Raffles Medical, Asian Healthcare Specialists and IHH Healthcare — stocks that will also give similar exposure in other Asian countries. Dividend payers and financial services High-dividend-paying stocks as well as financial services are set to benefit from the aging population, according to analysts. Another potential beneficiary of aging populations is financial services, according to Rob Clarry, investment strategist at wealth manager Evelyn Partners.
The move also marked the beginning of a new way to manage endowment funds. The arrangement has been a boon for the hedge-fund managers who received university endowment cash, but the benefits for the schools are trickier to parse. As Eaton put it in his book, universities directed funds to "wherever those allocations would generate the largest further investment returns." Eaton estimated in 2017 that tax breaks for university endowments cost federal coffers up to $19 billion a year. As the influence of billionaires and hedge-fund managers has grown, universities have moved further away from their ultimate goal: educating people.
Let's break down what to know ahead of the Federal Reserve's widely expected interest rate hike today. Today's rate hike decision probably won't surprise anyone, as markets have long priced in a 25-basis-point move for the February and March meetings. Goldman said he'll be watching for three things in Powell's speech:Powell will talk tough: "He's going to push back on financial markets. In any case, according to Reinking, unless Powell musters up some serious aggression, any messaging will ultimately fall upon deaf ears. What will your investment strategy look like following another interest rate hike from the Fed?
Jim Cramer says we're in a bull market, so buy on the dip
  + stars: | 2023-01-31 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Tuesday told investors that the market is in bull mode, so declines represent opportunities to buy on a dip. "If we're in a bull market, and I think we are, you have to prepare yourself," he said, adding, "We have to prepare for the down days now because in a bull market, they're buying opportunities." Stocks rose on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 reaching its best January performance since 2019 on strong corporate earnings and softer-than-expected inflation data. Cramer said the market's ability to gain due to strong earnings reports suggests that it has more room to run. Cramer said that Tuesday's turnaround shows that high-quality names will eventually rebound in the current market.
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