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There are two things that could go wrong in the economy that could lead to a recession, Morgan Stanley said. AdvertisementThe US economy appears on track to keep growing, but there are two things that could spoil the no-recession forecast on Wall Street, according to Morgan Stanley. A slowdown, then people get laid off, laid off people spend less, the economy slows down more, and it snowballs," he added. "So that's another place where I think we could be wrong," Carpenter said of his recession forecast, though he reiterated that a downturn wasn't his baseline view. And if anything, where we were wrong with our forecast so far is that things have turned out even better than we dare hoped," Carpenter added.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, , Seth Carpenter, Carpenter, Trump, Morgan, we've Organizations: Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, New York Fed
Business Insider's "Workforce Innovation" series will explore how our jobs are changing by digging into four themes: AI, the changing C-suite, worker well-being, and DEI. The board will be composed of C-suite leaders from HR, strategy, technology, and DEI. The C-suite is getting more crowded, and jobs like chief growth officer and chief AI officer are becoming more common. Increasing amounts of data and the emergence of AI, Wiggins told BI, require companies to have roles beyond chief information officer or chief technology officer. "The future of DEI," Lawless said, "does need to be more diffuse."
Persons: we're, it's, Daron Acemoglu, Cody O'Loughlin Acemoglu, Acemoglu, Ty Wiggins, Russell Reynolds, Wiggins, Georgie Clarke, It's, Carly Holm, Leah Smith, Holm, George Floyd's, Regina Lawless, Charles Schoenberger, Lawless, Gen Z Organizations: Innovation Board, DEI, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Russell Reynolds Associates, World Health Organization, Business, Employers, Companies Locations:
WASHINGTON (AP) — Employers posted 9.6 million job openings in September, up from 9.5 million in August and a sign that the U.S. job market remains strong even as the U.S. Federal Reserve attempts to cool the economy. Layoffs fell to 1.5 million from 1.7 million in August, more evidence that workers enjoy an unusual degree of job security. The number of Americans quitting their jobs — a sign of confidence they can find better pay elsewhere — was virtually unchanged. The September openings are down from a record 12 million in March 2022 but remain high by historical standards. Before 2021 — when the American economy began to surge from the COVID-19 pandemic — monthly job openings had never topped 8 million.
Persons: Organizations: WASHINGTON, — Employers, U.S . Federal, Labor Department Locations: U.S, American
The Biden administration rule — which took effect Jan. 30 — was one facet of a White House effort to address climate change. Biden's ESG rule replaced a regulation issued by the Trump administration. That's because ERISA, a federal retirement law, disallows employers from picking investments for ideological reasons. The Biden administration was concerned that the spin around the Trump rule might have chilled plans' willingness to consider ESG factors. "The Biden administration was concerned that the spin around the Trump rule might have chilled plans' willingness to consider ESG factors in evaluating plan investments," Iwry said.
Persons: Joe Biden, Marty Walsh, Anna Moneymaker, , Biden, Biden's, Trump, PSCA, Andrew Oringer, Oringer, DOL, gunning, Mark Iwry, Obama, Matthew Kacsmaryk, Mark Iwry nonresident, Iwry, Mischa Keijser Organizations: Labor, White, Getty, of America, U.S . Department of Labor, Northern District of Texas, Wagner Law, Department of Labor, Biden, Trump, Brookings Institution, U.S . Department of, Treasury, Brookings, Labor Department Locations: Rose, Northern District, Texas
This marks a shift from the incentive culture that many companies have been using to lure workers back to the office post-pandemic. But workforce demographics vary widely when it comes to the benefits, and the desire, to return to the office. Employees who work from the office at least three times a week report feeling more connected to their colleagues, a company spokesman said. This could mean, for instance, spelling out to the sales team that Mondays and Wednesdays are in-office days because that's when the bulk of customer interactions happen, and making clear to engineering that Thursdays are in-office days because that's when code reviews happen. This comes as the company will start mandating employees be in the office four days a week, up from three days, after Labor Day.
Persons: Bradford, Bell, William J, Conaty, there's, slowdowns, Morgan Chase, Davis Polk, Sallie Krawcheck, Lynne C, Vincent, Jenny von Podewils, Podewils, Rubab Jafry O'Connor, Neil Barr Organizations: Resources, Center, Cornell University's ILR, Google, Skadden, Wardwell, LaSalle Network, Citi, Bank of America, CNBC, Companies, Whitman School of Management, Syracuse University, Employees, Carnegie Mellon University's Tepper School of Business, Labor Locations: Slate
Bull market or fool's market? Investors say the latter
  + stars: | 2023-06-18 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +10 min
Mega-cap tech stocks that were battered by rising interest rates in 2022 have also seen a huge boost this year. The Federal Reserve on Wednesday held interest rates steady but indicated that it could hike rates twice more this year. Tech stocks’ record runApple shares closed at a record high on Thursday, creeping closer to reaching a $3 trillion market capitalization. The rally’s next testDespite some bullish signs in the market, investors say the math isn’t adding up to a sustained rally — especially considering a possible recession looms on the horizon. The central bank last Wednesday paused interest rates and indicated that it could raise rates two more times this year.
Persons: Dow, , Amanda Agati, Wednesday’s, Stocks, Joe Biden, Dan Ives, , ” Ives, Richard Steinberg, Jerome Powell, Agati, Sylvia Jablonski, Christopher Waller, Thomas Barkin, ” Waller, Sarah Henry, Henry, Here’s, Price, Refinitiv, Paul Eitelman, ” Eitelman Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Apple, Nasdaq, PNC Financial Services, Management, , Federal Reserve, Nvidia, Wedbush Securities, Microsoft, The Colony, Treasury, , Federal, Richmond Fed, Logan Capital Management, CPI, PPI, University of, Consumers, North America, Russell Investments, Wednesday, National Association of Realtors, Senate Locations: New York, what’s, Oslo
That's what happened to Kimberly Nguyen in March: The NYC worker went viral on Twitter when she saw an opening for her job title was being advertised with a pay range up to $90,000 higher than her own salary. A slim minority, 45%, of companies currently include pay ranges in job postings, according to a 2023 Payscale report. If you find your own job title online listed at a higher salary, here are some things you can do. There are some good reasons why similar job titles could have different pay ranges, says Ruth Thomas, a pay equity strategist at Payscale. You could use public salary ranges to ask for a raise.
Iman Abuzeid is one of nine Black and Latina female founders with a startup valued at $1 billion. That made Abuzeid one of nine Black and Latina female founders whose startups have reached a billion-dollar valuation. Black female founders must focus on winningThe statistics are bad, and they demonstrate a real structural bias in the system. When you narrow it down to Black female founders, it's 0.2%, which is effectively zero. I have a therapist, and I'm a huge fan of all CEOs and founders getting a therapist.
Career coach Natalie Fisher said there are four common reasons why you might get a job interview but not a job offer: 1. The Art of Tooting Your Own Horn Without Blowing It": Pump yourself up before you walk into a job interview. Interview tips from an HR pro who tracked her job search on TikTokAnd finally, a few job interview tips from Jordan Gibbs. Here are a few of her top job interview tips: Never count your chickens before they're hatched. Read more job interview tips from Gibbs and how she ultimately landed her job.
Too many companies botch mass layoffs
  + stars: | 2023-01-25 | by ( Jeanne Sahadi | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
When it comes to mass layoffs, there seems to be no end to the worst, most bungled ways in which some employees first learn they are being let go. “People have to feel they’re being treated with respect,” said Sarah Rodehorst, CEO of Onwards HR, an offboarding technology platform for human resources, legal and finance teams. (Google declined to comment, pointing instead to a blog post from the CEO on the day of the layoffs.) Employees should receive a communication from the CEO or from division leadership that informs them layoffs will occur and offers them the business reasons for the decision. By “small,” Lee means no more than 5 to 10 people, including a leader or manager they know who delivers the news.
This desire for positivity may explain the popularity of a hot, new theory about the job market: labor hoarding. A bet on the futureThe idea of labor hoarding is basically an assumption about the bet that companies are making on the future of the labor market and customer demand. Another helpful tool to see how businesses are adapting to the labor market is the Bureau of Labor Statistics' quarterly Business Employment Dynamics report. Instead, we're seeing a more-balanced response consistent with a tight labor market that is losing some steam. So when the real pain starts, there's a good chance the US will quickly shift from labor hoarding to layoffs.
About 155 million Americans have work-based health insurance, the largest source of coverage by far, according to the Kaiser Family Foundation. Delayed impact of inflation on health careWhile the cost of gas, food and other essentials can change quickly based on inflation and market conditions, health care operates differently. In fact, health care costs are bucking their own typical trend. Workers are projected to shell out an average of 2.6% more for health care this year, compared to 2021, Aon calculated. Increases expected to continueNext year will only be the start of an extended period of increased health care costs, experts said.
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